Yr Athro Paul Harper

2025

• Beliën, J., Brailsford, S., Demeulemeester, E., Demirtas, D., Hans, E. W. and Harper, P. 2025. Fifty years of operational research applied to healthcare. European Journal of Operational Research 326(2), pp. 189-206. (10.1016/j.ejor.2024.12.040)
• Williams, E. H., Harper, P. R., Palmer, G. I. and Gartner, D. 2025. A systematic review of operational research modelling for alcohol consumption and its consequences. Health Systems, pp. 1-36. (10.1080/20476965.2025.2523751)
• Palmer, G. I., Tuson, M., Knight, V., Harper, P., Brice, S., Smith, L. and Gartner, D. 2025. On the optimisation of heterogeneous ambulance fleet allocations. IMA Journal of Management Mathematics, article number: dpaf027. (10.1093/imaman/dpaf027)
• Harper, P., Gartner, D., Knight, V., Palmer, G. and Tuson, M. 2025. Transforming emergency and urgent care services with mathematical modelling. In: Aston, P. J. ed. More UK Success Stories in Industrial Mathematics. Springer, pp. 131-137., (10.1007/978-3-031-48683-8_17)
• Harper, P., Gartner, D., Knight, V., Palmer, G. and Tuson, M. 2025. Transforming emergency and urgent care services with mathematical modelling. In: Aston, P. ed. More UK Success Stories in Industrial Mathematics., Vol. 42. Mathematics in Industry Cham, Switzerland: Springer, pp. 131-137., (10.1007/978-3-031-48683-8_17)
• Williams, E., Gartner, D. and Harper, P. 2025. Predictive and prescriptive analytics for multi-site modelling of frail and elderly patient services. Journal of the Operational Research Society (10.1080/01605682.2025.2487650)

2024

• Brice, S., Boutilier, J., Palmer, G., Harper, P. R., Knight, V., Tuson, M. and Gartner, D. 2024. Close-up on ambulance service estimation in Indonesia: Monte Carlo simulation study. Interactive Journal of Medical Research 13, article number: e54240. (10.2196/54240)
• Musa, C., Firdaus, M., Morgan, J., Harper, P., Eduardo, B. and Gallagher, J. E. 2024. Scenario modeling for dentistry in Malaysia: Utilization, privatization, and specialization. Journal of International Oral Health 16(5), pp. 403-413. (10.4103/jioh.jioh_133_24)
• Howells, M., Harper, P., Palmer, G. and Gartner, D. 2024. Fractured systems: a literature review of OR/MS methods applied to orthopaedic care settings and treatments. Health Systems 13(3), pp. 151-176. (10.1080/20476965.2023.2264348)
• Musa, M. F. C., Morgan, J., Harper, P., Bernabé, E. and Gallagher, J. E. 2024. Modelling the future Malaysian clinician dental workforce using system dynamics. Malaysian Journal of Medicine and Health Sciences 20(2), pp. 122-132. (10.47836/mjmhs.20.2.17)
• Grange, H., Johns, G., Ahuja, A., Harper, P., Williams, E. and Gartner, D. 2024. Capacity planning of virtual wards for frail and elderly patients. Healthcare 12(5), article number: 533. (10.3390/healthcare12050533)

2023

• Behrens, D. A., Morgan, J. S., Krczal, E., Harper, P. R. and Gartner, D. 2023. Still looking in the wrong place: literature-based evidence of why patients really attend an emergency department. Socio-Economic Planning Sciences 90, article number: 101707. (10.1016/j.seps.2023.101707)
• Bannister, C. et al. 2023. Time to complete contemporary dental procedures – estimates from a cross-sectional survey of the dental team. BMC Oral Health 23, article number: 926. (10.1186/s12903-023-03671-y)
• Tuson, M., Harper, P., Gartner, D. and Behrens, D. 2023. Understanding the impact of social networks on the spread of obesity. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health 20(15), article number: 6451. (10.3390/ijerph20156451)
• Panayides, M., Knight, V. and Harper, P. 2023. A game theoretic model of the behavioural gaming that takes place at the EMS - ED interface. European Journal of Operational Research 305(3), pp. 1236-1258. (10.1016/j.ejor.2022.07.001)
• Brice, S. N., Harper, P. R., Gartner, D. and Behrens, D. A. 2023. Modeling disease progression and treatment pathways for depression jointly using agent based modeling and system dynamics. Frontiers in Public Health 10, article number: 1011104. (10.3389/fpubh.2022.1011104)
• England, T., Harper, P., Crosby, T., Gartner, D., Arruda, E. F., Foley, K. and Williamson, I. 2023. Modelling lung cancer diagnostic pathways using discrete event simulation. Journal of Simulation 17(1), pp. 94-104. (10.1080/17477778.2021.1956866)

2022

• Gartner, D., Williams, E. M. and Harper, P. R. 2022. Prescriptive healthcare analytics: a tutorial on discrete optimization and simulation. Presented at: 10th IEEE International Conference on Healthcare Informatics (ICHI 2022), Rochester, MN, United States, 11-14 June 2022Proceedings of the 10th International Conference on Healthcare Informatics. IEEE pp. 1-3., (10.1109/ICHI54592.2022.00111)
• Cope, A. L. et al. 2022. The development and application of a chairside oral health risk and need stratification tool in general dental services. Journal of Dentistry 123, article number: 104206. (10.1016/j.jdent.2022.104206)
• Brice, S. et al. 2022. Emergency services utilization in Jakarta (Indonesia): A cross-sectional study of patients attending hospital emergency departments. BMC Health Services Research 22, article number: 639. (10.1186/s12913-022-08061-8)
• Williams, E., Gartner, D. and Harper, P. 2022. Linking predictive and prescriptive analytics of elderly and frail patient hospital services. Presented at: 10th IEEE International Conference on Healthcare Informatics (ICHI 2022), Rochester, MN, United States, 11-14 June 20222022 IEEE 10th International Conference on Healthcare Informatics (ICHI). pp. 1-1., (10.1109/ICHI54592.2022.00071)
• Gartner, D., England, T., Behrens, D., Spernaes, I., Buchanan, J. and Harper, P. 2022. Evaluation of participants’ reaction and learning in a taught analytics and modelling academy program in U.K.’s National Health Service. Presented at: 10th IEEE International Conference on Healthcare Informatics (ICHI 2022), Rochester, MN, United States, 11-14 June 2022.
• Palmer, G. I., Harper, P., Knight, V. and Brooks, C. 2022. Modelling changes in healthcare demand through geographic data extrapolation. Health Systems 11(2), pp. 109-125. (10.1080/20476965.2021.1906764)

2021

• Williams, E., Gartner, D. and Harper, P. 2021. A survey of OR/MS models on care planning for frail and elderly patients. Operations Research for Health Care 31, article number: 100325. (10.1016/j.orhc.2021.100325)
• Ghotane, S. G., Don-Davis, P., Kamara, D., Harper, P. R., Challacombe, S. J. and Gallagher, J. E. 2021. Needs-led human resource planning for Sierra Leone in support of oral health. Human Resources for Health 19(1), article number: 106. (10.1186/s12960-021-00623-x)
• Arruda, E., Harper, P., England, T., Gartner, D., Aspland, E., Ourique, F. and Crosby, T. 2021. Resource optimisation for cancer pathways with aggregate diagnostic demand: a perishable inventory approach. IMA Journal of Management Mathematics 32(2), pp. 221-236. (10.1093/imaman/dpaa014)
• Aspland, E., Gartner, D. and Harper, P. 2021. Clinical pathway modelling: A literature review. Health Systems 10(1), pp. 1-23. (10.1080/20476965.2019.1652547)
• Aspland, E., Harper, P. R., Gartner, D., Webb, P. and Barrett-Lee, P. 2021. Modified Needleman-Wunsch algorithm for clinical pathway clustering. Journal of Biomedical Informatics 115, article number: 103668. (10.1016/j.jbi.2020.103668)
• England, T., Harper, P., Crosby, T., Gartner, D., Arruda, E. F., Foley, K. and Williamson, I. J. 2021. Examining the diagnostic pathway for lung cancer patients in Wales using discrete event simulation. Translational Lung Cancer Research 10(3), pp. 1368-1382. (10.21037/tlcr-20-919)
• Brice, S. et al. 2021. Factors influencing the delivery of cancer pathways: a summary of the literature. Journal of Health Organization and Management 35(9), pp. 121-139. (10.1108/JHOM-05-2020-0192)
• England, T. et al. 2021. Near real-time bed modelling feasibility study. Journal of Simulation 15(4), pp. 261-272. (10.1080/17477778.2019.1706434)
• Kheiri, A., Lewis, R., Thompson, J. and Harper, P. 2021. Constructing operating theatre schedules using partitioned graph colouring techniques. Health Systems 10(4), pp. 286-297. (10.1080/20476965.2020.1796530)
• Harper, P., Moore, J. and Woolley, T. 2021. Covid-19 transmission modelling of students returning home from university. Health Systems 10(1), pp. 31-40. (10.1080/20476965.2020.1857214)

2020

• Shone, R., Knight, V. A. and Harper, P. R. 2020. A conservative index heuristic for routing problems with multiple heterogeneous service facilities. Mathematical Methods of Operations Research 92, pp. 511-543. (10.1007/s00186-020-00722-w)
• Harper, P. 2020. Healthy O.R. in Wales. Impact 2020(2), pp. 28-32. (10.1080/2058802X.2020.1768684)
• Harper, P. R. 2020. Server behaviours in healthcare queueing systems. Journal of the Operational Research Society 71(7), pp. 1124-1136. (10.1080/01605682.2019.1567653)
• Kunc, M., Harper, P. and Katsikopoulos, K. 2020. A review of implementation of behavioural aspects in the application of OR in healthcare. Journal of the Operational Research Society 71(7), pp. 1055-1072. (10.1080/01605682.2018.1489355)
• Brailsford, S., Carter, M., Harper, P. and Katsikopoulos, K. 2020. Special issue on healthcare behavioural OR [Editorial]. Journal of the Operational Research Society 71(7), pp. 1053-1054. (10.1080/01605682.2020.1766848)
• Williams, E., Harper, P. and Gartner, D. 2020. Modelling of the collections process in the blood supply chain: a literature review. IISE Transactions on Healthcare Systems Engineering 10(3), pp. 200-211. (10.1080/24725579.2020.1776426)
• Harper, P., Moore, J. and Woolley, T. 2020. Secondary household Covid-19 transmission modelling of students returning home from university. n/a
• Lynam, A., Behrens, D. A., Battista-Dowds, E. M., Gartner, D. and Harper, P. 2020. A Monte Carlo simulation model for evaluating the effectiveness of Interventions along the ‘Diabesity’ pathway. Presented at: 8th IEEE International Conference on Healthcare Informatics (ICHI 2020), Virtual, 30 November - 3 December 2020Proceedings of the 8th IEEE International Conference on Healthcare Informatics.

2019

• Palmer, G. I., Knight, V. A., Harper, P. R. and Hawa, A. L. 2019. Ciw: An open-source discrete event simulation library. Journal of Simulation 13(1), pp. 68-82. (10.1080/17477778.2018.1473909)
• Morgan, J., Harper, P., Knight, V., Artemiou, A., Carney, A. and Nelson, A. 2019. Determining patient outcomes from patient letters: A comparison of text analysis approaches. Journal of the Operational Research Society 70(9), pp. 1425-1439. (10.1080/01605682.2018.1506559)

2018

• Palmer, G. I., Harper, P. R. and Knight, V. A. 2018. Modelling deadlock in open restricted queueing networks. European Journal of Operational Research 266(2), pp. 609-621. (10.1016/j.ejor.2017.10.039)
• Fetta, A., Harper, P., Knight, V. and Williams, J. 2018. Predicting adolescent social networks to stop smoking in secondary schools. European Journal of Operational Research 265(1), pp. 263-276. (10.1016/j.ejor.2017.07.039)
• Ansah, J. P., Koh, V., Bayer, S., Harper, P. R. and Matchar, D. 2018. Healthcare human resource planning. In: Kahraman, C. and Topcu, Y. I. eds. Operations Research Applications in Health Care Management., Vol. 262. International Series in Operations Research & Management Science Kluwer Academic Publishers, pp. 515-541., (10.1007/978-3-319-65455-3_20)

2017

• Penn, M. L., Potts, C. N. and Harper, P. R. 2017. Multiple criteria mixed-integer programming for incorporating multiple factors into the development of master operating theatre timetables. European Journal of Operational Research 262(1), pp. 194-206. (10.1016/j.ejor.2017.03.065)
• Vile, J. L., Gillard, J. W., Harper, P. R. and Knight, V. A. 2017. A queueing theoretic approach to set staffing levels in time-dependent dual-class service systems. Decision Sciences 48(4), pp. 766-794. (10.1111/deci.12236)
• Arzpayma, P., Jones, H., Harper, P., Knight, V., Shipley, D., Edwards, C. and Anstey, A. 2017. Creation and assessment of a computerized modelling tool for optimizing planning of home and hospital-based phototherapy. British Journal of Dermatology 176(5), pp. 1390-1391. (10.1111/bjd.14994)
• Mayor, S. et al. 2017. Measuring harm and informing quality improvement in the Welsh NHS: the longitudinal Welsh national adverse events study. Health Services and Delivery Research 5(9) (10.3310/hsdr05090)

2016

• Shone, R., Knight, V. A., Harper, P. R., Williams, J. E. and Minty, J. 2016. Containment of socially optimal policies in multiple-facility Markovian queueing systems. Journal of the Operational Research Society 67(4), pp. 629-643. (10.1057/jors.2015.98)
• Vile, J. L., Gillard, J. W., Harper, P. R. and Knight, V. A. 2016. Time-dependent stochastic methods for managing and scheduling Emergency Medical Services. Operations Research for Health Care 8, pp. 42-52. (10.1016/j.orhc.2015.07.002)

2015

• Wanyonyi, K. L., Radford, D. R., Harper, P. R. and Gallagher, J. E. 2015. Alternative scenarios: harnessing mid-level providers and evidence-based practice in primary dental care in England through operational research. Human Resources for Health 13(1), pp. 78. (10.1186/s12960-015-0072-9)
• Young, T. et al. 2015. Improving the NHS demands more than just extra money [Letter]. BMJ 350(jun24), pp. h3338. (10.1136/bmj.h3338)
• Putman, K., Anstey, A., Harper, P. R. and Knight, V. A. 2015. Modelling of psoriasis patient flows for the reconfiguration of secondary care services and treatments. Health Systems (10.1057/hs.2015.4)
• Smith, H. K. and Harper, P. R. 2015. Can you model growth of trust? A study of the sustainability of a rural community health centre in North India. Journal of Simulation 9(2), pp. 170-181. (10.1057/jos.2014.31)
• Rowse, E. L., Lewis, R., Harper, P. R. and Thompson, J. M. 2015. Applying set partitioning methods in the construction of operating theatre schedules. Presented at: International Conference on Theory and Practice in Modern Computing 2015, Las Palmas de Gran Canaria, Spain, 22-24 July 2015.
• Rauner, M. S., Schaffhauser-Linzatti, M. M., Bauerstätter, J., Schwarz, B., Harper, P. R., Wittig, K. and Mayer, B. 2015. A decision support system for prevention and costing of occupational injuries. International Journal of Decision Support Systems

2014

• Viana, J., Brailsford, S., Harindra, V. and Harper, P. R. 2014. Combining discrete-event simulation and system dynamics in a healthcare setting: a composite model for Chlamydia infection. European Journal of Operational Research 237(1), pp. 196-206. (10.1016/j.ejor.2014.02.052)
• Sahu, S. K., Baffour, B., Harper, P. R., Minty, J. and Sarran, C. 2014. A hierarchical Bayesian model for improving short-term forecasting of hospital demand by including meteorological information. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A (Statistics in Society) 177(1), pp. 39-61. (10.1111/rssa.12008)
• Sadsad, R., McDonnell, G., Viana, J., Desai, S., Harper, P. R. and Brailsford, S. 2014. Hybrid modelling case studies. In: Brailsford, S., Churilov, L. and Dangerfield, B. eds. Discrete-Event Simulation and System Dynamics for Management Decision Making. Wiley Series in Operations Research and Management Science Wiley, pp. 295-317., (10.1002/9781118762745.ch14)

2013

• Knight, V. A. and Harper, P. R. 2013. Selfish routing in public services. European Journal of Operational Research 230(1), pp. 122-132. (10.1016/j.ejor.2013.04.003)
• Vile, J., Gillard, J. W., Harper, P. R. and Knight, V. A. 2013. Integrating demand forecasting and workforce planning strategies for emergency medical services. Presented at: Operational Research Applied to Health Services (ORAHS), Istanbul, Turkey, July 2013.
• Gallagher, J. E., Lim, Z. and Harper, P. R. 2013. Workforce skill mix: modelling the potential for dental therapists in state-funded primary dental care. International Dental Journal 63(2), pp. 57-64. (10.1111/idj.12006)
• Smith, H. K., Harper, P. R. and Potts, C. N. 2013. Bicriteria efficiency/equity hierarchical location models for public service application. Journal of the Operational Research Society 64(4), pp. 500-512. (10.1057/jors.2012.68)
• Mustafee, N., Harper, P. r., Kleinman, E., Gallagher, J. and Knight, V. A. 2013. Cost-effective workforce planning: optimising the dental team skill-mix for England. Journal of Enterprise Information Management 26(1/2), pp. 91-108. (10.1108/17410391311289569)

2012

• Knight, V. A., Harper, P. R. and Smith, L. 2012. Ambulance allocation for maximal survival with heterogeneous outcome measures. OMEGA -The International Journal of Management Science. 40(6), pp. 918-926. (10.1016/j.omega.2012.02.003)
• Harper, P. R., Minty, J., Baffour, B. and Sahu, S. 2012. MetSim: A simulation support tool using meteorological information to improve the planning and management of hospital services. Presented at: ORAHS 2012 - High Tech - Human Touch: 38th annual meeting of the EURO working group on OR Applied to Health Services, Twente University, Enschede, Netherlands, 15-20 July 2012.
• Harper, P. R., Minty, J., Sahu, S. and Baffour, B. 2012. MetSim: A simulation decision support tool using meteorological information for short-term planning of hospital services. Presented at: SIMULTECH 2012 - 2nd International Conference on Simulation and Modeling Methodologies, Technologies and Applications, Rome, Italy, 28-31 July 2012IMULTECH 2012 - Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Simulation and Modeling Methodologies, Technologies and Applications, Rome, Italy, 28 - 31 July, 2012.. SciTePress pp. 543-547.
• Harper, P. R., Knight, V. A. and Marshall, A. H. 2012. Discrete conditional phase-type models utilising classification trees: application to modelling health service capacities. European Journal of Operational Research 219(3), pp. 522-530. (10.1016/j.ejor.2011.10.035)
• Brailsford, S. C., Harper, P. R. and Sykes, J. 2012. Incorporating human behaviour in simulation models of screening for breast cancer. European Journal of Operational Research 219(3), pp. 491-507. (10.1016/j.ejor.2011.10.041)
• Fetta, A. G., Harper, P. R., Knight, V. A., Vieira, I. T. and Williams, J. E. 2012. On the Peter Principle: An agent based investigation into the consequential effects of social networks and behavioural factors. Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications 391(9), pp. 2898-2910. (10.1016/j.physa.2011.12.053)
• Knight, V. A. and Harper, P. R. 2012. Modelling emergency medical services with phase-type distributions. Health Systems 1(1), pp. 58-68. (10.1057/hs.2012.1)
• Vile, J. L., Gillard, J. W., Harper, P. R. and Knight, V. A. 2012. Predicting ambulance demand using singular spectrum analysis. Journal of the Operational Research Society 63, pp. 1556-1565. (10.1057/jors.2011.160)
• Rowse, E. L., Harper, P. R., Williams, J. E. and Smithies, M. 2012. Optimising the use of resources within the district nursing service: A case study. Health Systems 2(1), pp. 43-52. (10.1057/hs.2012.22)

2011

• Bolt, T. et al. 2011. Overcoming the barriers: a qualitative study of simulation adoption in the NHS. Journal of the Operational Research Society (10.1057/jors.2011.130)
• Vieira, I. T., de Senna, V., Harper, P. R. and Shahani, A. K. 2011. Tumour doubling times and the length bias in breast cancer screening programmes. Health Care Management Science 14(2), pp. 203-211. (10.1007/s10729-011-9156-9)
• Jun, G. T., Morris, Z., Eldabi, T., Harper, P. R., Naseer, A., Patel, B. and Clarkson, J. P. 2011. Development of modelling method selection tool for health services management: From problem structuring methods to modelling and simulation methods. BMC Health Services Research 11(1), article number: 108. (10.1186/1472-6963-11-108)
• Harper, P. R. 2011. Hospital operating theatre scheduling - advanced booking of individual patients. Presented at: 37th ORAHS Conference, Cardiff, July 2011 - Operational Research Informing National Health Policy, Cardiff, Wales, UK, 24-29 July 2011.
• Harper, P. R., Knight, V. A., Vieira, I. and Williams, J. E. 2011. Operational research informing national health policy. Cardiff University.

2010

• Jahangirian, M. et al. 2010. Simulation in health-care: lessons from other sectors. Operational Research 12(1), pp. 45-55. (10.1007/s12351-010-0089-8)
• Vieira, I. T., Cheng, R. C. H., Harper, P. R. and de Senna, V. 2010. Small world network models of the dynamics of HIV infection. Annals of Operations Research 178(1), pp. 173-200. (10.1007/s10479-009-0571-y)
• Harper, P. R. 2010. Developing a multi-methodology operating theatre scheduling support system. Presented at: IMA Sixth International Conference on Quantitative Modelling in the Management of Health Care, London, UK, 29-31 March 2010.
• Gallagher, J. E., Kleinman, E. R. and Harper, P. R. 2010. Modelling workforce skill-mix: how can dental professionals meet the needs and demands of older people in England?. British Dental Journal 208(3), article number: E6. (10.1038/sj.bdj.2010.106)
• Gallagher, J. E., Kleinman, E. R. and Harper, P. R. 2010. Summary of: Modelling workforce skill-mix: how can dental professionals meet the needs and demands of older people in England?. British Dental Journal 208(3), pp. 116-117. (10.1038/sj.bdj.2010.132)
• Vile, J. L., Gillard, J. W., Harper, P. R. and Knight, V. A. 2010. Forecasting Welsh ambulance demand using singular spectrum analysis. Presented at: 36th International ORAHS conference, Genova, Italy, 18-23 July 2010 Presented at Testi, A. ed.Operations Research for Patient-Centered Health Care Delivery: Proceedings of the XXXVI International ORAHS Conference. Economia Vol. 5. Milan: Franco Angeli pp. 196-208.

2009

• Kleinman, E. R., Harper, P. R. and Gallagher, J. E. 2009. Trends in NHS primary dental care for older people in England: implications for the future. Gerodontology 26(3), pp. 193-201. (10.1111/j.1741-2358.2008.00260.x)
• Harper, P. R. 2009. Location modelling for community healthcare facilities. Presented at: 33rd International Conference of Operational Research Applied to Health Services, St Etienne, France, 15-20 July 2009.
• Smith, H. K., Laporte, G. and Harper, P. R. 2009. Locational analysis: highlights of growth to maturity. Journal of the Operational Research Society 60, pp. S140-S148. (10.1057/jors.2008.172)
• Smith, H. K., Harper, P. R., Potts, C. N. and Thyle, A. 2009. Planning sustainable community health schemes in rural areas of developing countries. European Journal of Operational Research 193(3), pp. 768-777. (10.1016/j.ejor.2007.07.031)
• Harper, P. R., Powell, N. H. and Williams, J. E. 2009. Modelling the size and skill-mix of hospital nursing teams. Journal of the Operational Research Society 61(5), pp. 768-779. (10.1057/jors.2009.43)
• Brailsford, S. C., Harper, P. R., Patel, B. and Pitt, M. 2009. An analysis of the academic literature on simulation and modelling in health care. Journal of Simulation 3(3), pp. 130-140. (10.1057/jos.2009.10)
• Arisha, A., Thorwarth, M. and Harper, P. R. 2009. Simulation model to investigate flexible workload management for healthcare and servicescape environment. Presented at: Winter Simulation Conference, Washington, USA, December 2009.

2008

• Harper, P. R. and Leite Jr., E. 2008. TreeWorks: Advances in Scalable Decision Trees. International Journal of Healthcare Information Systems and Informatics (IJHISI) 3(4), pp. 53-68. (10.4018/jhisi.2008100104)

2007

• Brailsford, S. C. and Harper, P. R. 2007. Editorial - Special issue: Operational research in health. Journal of the Operational Research Society 58(2), pp. 141-144. (10.1057/palgrave.jors.2602267)
• Harper, P. R. 2007. Simulation modelling of a major accident and emergency department in Rome. Presented at: 31st Meeting of Operational Research Applied to Health Services, Southampton, UK, July 2007.
• Brailsford, S. and Harper, P. R. 2007. Operational research for health policy: Making better decisions. Peter Lang.

2006

• Evenden, D., Harper, P. R., Brailsford, S. C. and Harindra, V. 2006. Improving the cost-effectiveness of Chlamydia screening with targeted screening strategies. Journal of the Operational Research Society 57(12), pp. 1400-1412. (10.1057/palgrave.jors.2602134)
• Harper, P. R. and Winslett, D. J. 2006. Classification trees: A possible method for maternity risk grouping. European Journal of Operational Research 169(1), pp. 146-156. (10.1016/j.ejor.2004.05.014)
• Brailsford, S. C., Sykes, J. and Harper, P. R. 2006. Incorporating human behavior in healthcare simulation models. Presented at: Winter Simulation Conference, 2006 (WSC 06), Monterey, CA, USA, 3-6 December 2006 Presented at Perrone, L. F. et al. eds.Proceedings of the Winter Simulation Conference, 2006 (WSC 06). Los Alamitos, CA: IEEE pp. 466-472., (10.1109/WSC.2006.323117)
• Harper, P. 2006. Modelling for the reprovision and redesign of intermediate care services in the UK - a local example. Presented at: 30th Meeting of Operational Research Applied to Health Services, Stockholm, Sweden, July 2006.
• Harper, P. R. 2006. Combined geomapping, statistical risk grouping and computer simulation for modelling chlamydia infection dynamics and screening strategies. Presented at: 30th Meeting of Operational Research Applied to Health Services, Stockholm, Sweden, July 2006.

2005

• Evenden, D., Harper, P. R., Brailsford, S. C. and Harindra, V. 2005. System Dynamics modeling of Chlamydia infection for screening intervention planning and cost-benefit estimation. IMA Journal of Management Mathematics 16(3), pp. 265-279. (10.1093/imaman/dpi022)
• Harper, P. R., de Senna, V., Vieira, I. T. and Shahani, A. K. 2005. A genetic algorithm for the project assignment problem. Computers & Operations Research 32(5), pp. 1255-1265. (10.1016/j.cor.2003.11.003)
• Harper, P. R. and Jones, S. K. 2005. Mathematical models for the early detection and treatment of colorectal cancer. Health Care Management Science 8(2), pp. 101-109. (10.1007/s10729-005-0393-7)
• Harper, P. R., Shahani, A. K., Gallagher, J. E. and Bowie, C. 2005. Planning health services with explicit geographical considerations: a stochastic location-allocation approach. OMEGA - The International Journal of Management Science 33(2), pp. 141-152. (10.1016/j.omega.2004.03.011)
• Harper, P. R. 2005. A review and comparison of classification algorithms for medical decision making. Health Policy 71(3), pp. 315-331. (10.1016/j.healthpol.2004.05.002)
• Harper, P. R., Phillips, S. and Gallagher, J. E. 2005. Geographical simulation modelling for the regional planning of oral and maxillofacial surgery across London. Journal of the Operational Research Society 56(2), pp. 134-143. (10.1057/palgrave.jors.2601898)
• Harper, P. R. 2005. Combining data mining tools with health care models for improved understanding of health processes and resource utilisation. Clinical and Investigative Medicine 28(6), pp. 338-341.
• Rauner, M., Harper, P. R. and Schwartz, B. 2005. Economic impact of occupational injuries: resource allocation for prevention programs. Central European Journal of Operations Research, pp. 393-424.

2004

• Harper, P. R. and Pitt, M. A. 2004. On the challenges of healthcare modelling and a proposed project life cycle for successful implementation. Journal of the Operational Research Society 55(6), pp. 657-661. (10.1057/palgrave.jors.2601719)
• Harper, P. R., Yates, J., Wilderspin, H., Shahani, A. K., Bowie, C. and Duff, C. 2004. Population needs assessment and access modelling for cardiac services. Journal of the Operational Research Society 55(5), pp. 529-534. (10.1057/palgrave.jors.2601644)
• Ball, C., Walker, G., Harper, P. R., Sanders, D. and McElligott, M. 2004. Moving on from 'patient dependency' and 'nursing workload' to managing risk in critical care. Intensive and Critical Care Nursing 20(2), pp. 62-68. (10.1016/j.iccn.2004.02.001)

2003

• Harper, P. H., Sayyad, M. G., de Senna, V., Shahani, A. K., Yajnik, C. S. and Shelgikar, K. M. 2003. A systems modelling approach for the prevention and treatment of diabetic retinopathy. European Journal of Operational Research 150(1), pp. 81-91. (10.1016/S0377-2217(02)00787-7)
• Vieira, I. T., Harper, P. R., Shahani, A. K. and de Senna, V. 2003. Mother-to-child transmission of HIV: a simulation-based approach for the evaluation of intervention strategies. Journal of the Operational Research Society 54(7), pp. 713-722. (10.1057/palgrave.jors.2601566)
• Harper, P. R. and Shahani, A. K. 2003. A decision support system for the care of HIV and AIDS patients in India. European Journal of Operational Research 147(1), pp. 187-197. (10.1016/S0377-2217(02)00270-9)
• Harper, P. R. and Gamlin, H. M. 2003. Reduced outpatient waiting times with improved appointment scheduling: a simulation modelling approach. OR Spectrum 25(2), pp. 207-222. (10.1007/s00291-003-0122-x)
• Costa, A. X., Ridley, S. A., Shahani, A. K., Harper, P. R., de Senna, V. and Nielsen, M. S. 2003. Mathematical modelling and simulation for planning critical care capacity. Anaesthesia 58(4), pp. 320-327. (10.1046/j.1365-2044.2003.03042.x)

2002

• Harper, P. R. 2002. A framework for operational modelling of hospital resources. Health Care Management Science 5, pp. 165-173. (10.1023/A:1019767900627)
• Harper, P. R. and Shahani, A. K. 2002. Modelling for the planning and management of bed capacities in hospitals. Journal of the Operational Research Society 53(1), pp. 11-18. (10.1057/palgrave.jors.2601278)