Yr Athro Paul Harper
BSc, MSc, PhD, FLSW, FORS

: Sylwebydd y cyfryngau
: Ar gael fel goruchwyliwr ôl-raddedig

Timau a rolau for Paul Harper

Athro Ymchwil Weithredol
Yr Ysgol Mathemateg

Mae fy niddordebau ymchwil mewn Ymchwil Weithredol stocastig (OR), gan gynnwys: theori ciwio, dulliau efelychu, optimeiddio a theori gemau; modelu mathemategol o systemau gofal iechyd; atal, canfod a thrin clefydau'n gynnar; dulliau stochastig ar gyfer cynllunio a rheoli adnoddau gofal iechyd; dulliau dysgu peiriant.

Yn awdur mwy na 130 o bapurau a phenodau llyfrau a adolygwyd gan gymheiriaid, rwyf wedi bod yn ymchwilydd a enwir ar fwy na £18M o grantiau ymchwil a ariennir, rwyf wedi goruchwylio 24 o fyfyrwyr PhD hyd yma i'w cwblhau'n llwyddiannus ac rwyf yn un o brif olygyddion sefydlu'r cyfnodolyn rhyngwladol Health Systems (Taylor & Francis).

Rwy'n Gymrawd etholedig Cymdeithas Ddysgedig Cymru (FLSW) ac yn Gymrawd Cymdeithas OR (FORS), derbynnydd Gwobr Cydymaith OR a Medal Effaith Lyn Thomas (Cymdeithas OR) a gwobr Times Higher Education am 'Gyfraniad Eithriadol i Arloesi a Thechnoleg, ac roeddwn yn aelod REF2021 is-banel (cyfnod asesu) ar gyfer Gwyddorau Mathemategol.

Ymhlith prosiectau ymchwil eraill a ariennir ar hyn o bryd, rwy'n gyd-ymchwilydd ar Hwb Iechyd Digidol LEAP, gan helpu i feithrin cymuned Iechyd Digidol amlddisgyblaethol, entrepreneuraidd, traws-sector ar draws y De-orllewin a Chymru (a ariennir gan EPSRC, £3.26M, EP/X031349/1).

Rwyf hefyd wedi arwain ar raglen ymchwil (a ariannwyd i ddechrau gan EPSRC ac yna MEDR) ar gyfer modelu Gwasanaethau Meddygol Brys (EMS) yn Indonesia, gan arwain at effaith sylweddol.

Gweler hefyd: Achub bywydau gyda mathemateg a Cwrdd â'n arloeswyr.

Gwefan bersonol yr Athro Paul Harper

Date
Type

2026

Williams, E. H. et al. 2026. A data-driven exploratory analysis of the alcohol-harm paradox in south-east Wales. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health 23 (8) 1058. (10.3390/ijerph23081058)
Basri, M. H. et al., 2026. Reducing healthcare access inequities in West Java through forecasting and location-allocation models. BMC Health Services Research (10.1186/s12913-026-14889-1)
Niven, V. et al., 2026. Prevention first – modelling evidence-based prevention with the dental team for children in England. British Dental Journal 240 (10), pp.681-686. (10.1038/s41415-026-9626-6)
Williams, E. et al. 2026. An optimisation framework for resource allocation in palliative and end-of-life care. Scientific Reports 16 17557. (10.1038/s41598-026-45072-5)
Brice, S. N. et al. 2026. Survey of ambulance usage by patients in metropolitan and provincial cities in Indonesia for Emergency Medical Services utilization. International Journal of Emergency Services 15 (1), pp.70-88. (10.1108/IJES-02-2024-0010)
Williams, E. , Gartner, D. and Harper, P. 2026. Predictive and prescriptive analytics for multi-site modelling of frail and elderly patient services. Journal of the Operational Research Society 77 (2), pp.480-498. (10.1080/01605682.2025.2487650)
Williams, E. H. et al. 2026. A systematic review of operational research modelling for alcohol consumption and its consequences. Health Systems 15 (1), pp.6-41. (10.1080/20476965.2025.2523751)
Williams, E. et al. 2026. Bed and stoma nurse capacity planning for frail and elderly patients undergoing emergency laparotomy: a simulation modelling approach. Presented at: Winter Simulation Conference Glasgow, Scotland, UK 6-9 December 2026. Published in: Ramomohan, V. et al., Proceedings of 2026 Winter Simulation Conference.

2025

Palmer, G. I. et al. 2025. On the optimisation of heterogeneous ambulance fleet allocations. IMA Journal of Management Mathematics 36 (4), pp.691-726. (10.1093/imaman/dpaf027)
Beliën, J. et al., 2025. Fifty years of operational research applied to healthcare. European Journal of Operational Research 326 (2), pp.189-206. (10.1016/j.ejor.2024.12.040)
Harper, P. et al. 2025. Transforming emergency and urgent care services with mathematical modelling. In: Aston, P. ed. More UK Success Stories in Industrial Mathematics. Vol. 42, Mathematics in Industry Cham, Switzerland: Springer. , pp.131-137. (10.1007/978-3-031-48683-8_17)

2018

Palmer, G. I. , Harper, P. R. and Knight, V. A. 2018. Modelling deadlock in open restricted queueing networks. European Journal of Operational Research 266 (2), pp.609-621. (10.1016/j.ejor.2017.10.039)
Fetta, A. et al., 2018. Predicting adolescent social networks to stop smoking in secondary schools. European Journal of Operational Research 265 (1), pp.263-276. (10.1016/j.ejor.2017.07.039)
Ansah, J. P. et al., 2018. Healthcare human resource planning. In: Kahraman, C. and Topcu, Y. I. eds. Operations Research Applications in Health Care Management. Vol. 262, International Series in Operations Research & Management Science Kluwer Academic Publishers. , pp.515-541. (10.1007/978-3-319-65455-3_20)

2017

Penn, M. L. , Potts, C. N. and Harper, P. R. 2017. Multiple criteria mixed-integer programming for incorporating multiple factors into the development of master operating theatre timetables. European Journal of Operational Research 262 (1), pp.194-206. (10.1016/j.ejor.2017.03.065)
Vile, J. L. et al. 2017. A queueing theoretic approach to set staffing levels in time-dependent dual-class service systems. Decision Sciences 48 (4), pp.766-794. (10.1111/deci.12236)
Arzpayma, P. et al., 2017. Creation and assessment of a computerized modelling tool for optimizing planning of home and hospital-based phototherapy. British Journal of Dermatology 176 (5), pp.1390-1391. (10.1111/bjd.14994)
Mayor, S. et al. 2017. Measuring harm and informing quality improvement in the Welsh NHS: the longitudinal Welsh national adverse events study. Health Services and Delivery Research 5 (9)(10.3310/hsdr05090)

2016

Shone, R. et al. 2016. Containment of socially optimal policies in multiple-facility Markovian queueing systems. Journal of the Operational Research Society 67 (4), pp.629-643. (10.1057/jors.2015.98)
Vile, J. L. et al. 2016. Time-dependent stochastic methods for managing and scheduling Emergency Medical Services. Operations Research for Health Care 8 , pp.42-52. (10.1016/j.orhc.2015.07.002)

2015

Wanyonyi, K. L. et al., 2015. Alternative scenarios: harnessing mid-level providers and evidence-based practice in primary dental care in England through operational research. Human Resources for Health 13 (1), pp.78. (10.1186/s12960-015-0072-9)
Young, T. et al., 2015. Improving the NHS demands more than just extra money [Letter]. BMJ 350 (jun24), pp.h3338. (10.1136/bmj.h3338)
Putman, K. et al., 2015. Modelling of psoriasis patient flows for the reconfiguration of secondary care services and treatments. Health Systems (10.1057/hs.2015.4)
Rowse, E. L. et al. 2015. Applying set partitioning methods in the construction of operating theatre schedules. Presented at: International Conference on Theory and Practice in Modern Computing 2015 Las Palmas de Gran Canaria, Spain 22-24 July 2015.
Smith, H. K. and Harper, P. R. 2015. Can you model growth of trust? A study of the sustainability of a rural community health centre in North India. Journal of Simulation 9 (2), pp.170-181. (10.1057/jos.2014.31)

2014

Viana, J. et al., 2014. Combining discrete-event simulation and system dynamics in a healthcare setting: a composite model for Chlamydia infection. European Journal of Operational Research 237 (1), pp.196-206. (10.1016/j.ejor.2014.02.052)
Sahu, S. K. et al., 2014. A hierarchical Bayesian model for improving short-term forecasting of hospital demand by including meteorological information. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A (Statistics in Society) 177 (1), pp.39-61. (10.1111/rssa.12008)
Sadsad, R. et al., 2014. Hybrid modelling case studies. In: Brailsford, S. , Churilov, L. and Dangerfield, B. eds. Discrete-Event Simulation and System Dynamics for Management Decision Making. Wiley Series in Operations Research and Management Science Wiley. , pp.295-317. (10.1002/9781118762745.ch14)

2013

Gallagher, J. E. , Lim, Z. and Harper, P. R. 2013. Workforce skill mix: modelling the potential for dental therapists in state-funded primary dental care. International Dental Journal 63 (2), pp.57-64. (10.1111/idj.12006)
Knight, V. A. and Harper, P. R. 2013. Selfish routing in public services. European Journal of Operational Research 230 (1), pp.122-132. (10.1016/j.ejor.2013.04.003)
Mustafee, N. et al., 2013. Cost-effective workforce planning: optimising the dental team skill-mix for England. Journal of Enterprise Information Management 26 (1/2), pp.91-108. (10.1108/17410391311289569)
Smith, H. K. , Harper, P. R. and Potts, C. N. 2013. Bicriteria efficiency/equity hierarchical location models for public service application. Journal of the Operational Research Society 64 (4), pp.500-512. (10.1057/jors.2012.68)
Vile, J. et al. 2013. Integrating demand forecasting and workforce planning strategies for emergency medical services. Presented at: Operational Research Applied to Health Services (ORAHS) Istanbul, Turkey July 2013.

2012

Knight, V. A. and Harper, P. R. 2012. Modelling emergency medical services with phase-type distributions. Health Systems 1 (1), pp.58-68. (10.1057/hs.2012.1)
Brailsford, S. C. , Harper, P. R. and Sykes, J. 2012. Incorporating human behaviour in simulation models of screening for breast cancer. European Journal of Operational Research 219 (3), pp.491-507. (10.1016/j.ejor.2011.10.041)
Fetta, A. G. et al. 2012. On the Peter Principle: An agent based investigation into the consequential effects of social networks and behavioural factors. Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications 391 (9), pp.2898-2910. (10.1016/j.physa.2011.12.053)
Harper, P. R. , Knight, V. A. and Marshall, A. H. 2012. Discrete conditional phase-type models utilising classification trees: application to modelling health service capacities. European Journal of Operational Research 219 (3), pp.522-530. (10.1016/j.ejor.2011.10.035)
Harper, P. R. et al. 2012. MetSim: A simulation support tool using meteorological information to improve the planning and management of hospital services. Presented at: ORAHS 2012 - High Tech - Human Touch: 38th annual meeting of the EURO working group on OR Applied to Health Services Twente University, Enschede, Netherlands 15-20 July 2012.
Harper, P. R. et al. 2012. MetSim: A simulation decision support tool using meteorological information for short-term planning of hospital services. Presented at: SIMULTECH 2012 - 2nd International Conference on Simulation and Modeling Methodologies, Technologies and Applications Rome, Italy 28-31 July 2012. IMULTECH 2012 - Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Simulation and Modeling Methodologies, Technologies and Applications, Rome, Italy, 28 - 31 July, 2012.. SciTePress. , pp.543-547.
Knight, V. A. , Harper, P. R. and Smith, L. 2012. Ambulance allocation for maximal survival with heterogeneous outcome measures. OMEGA -The International Journal of Management Science. 40 (6), pp.918-926. (10.1016/j.omega.2012.02.003)
Rowse, E. L. et al. 2012. Optimising the use of resources within the district nursing service: A case study. Health Systems 2 (1), pp.43-52. (10.1057/hs.2012.22)
Vile, J. L. et al. 2012. Predicting ambulance demand using singular spectrum analysis. Journal of the Operational Research Society 63 , pp.1556-1565. (10.1057/jors.2011.160)

2011

Bolt, T. et al., 2011. Overcoming the barriers: a qualitative study of simulation adoption in the NHS. Journal of the Operational Research Society (10.1057/jors.2011.130)
Jun, G. T. et al., 2011. Development of modelling method selection tool for health services management: From problem structuring methods to modelling and simulation methods. BMC Health Services Research 11 (1) 108. (10.1186/1472-6963-11-108)
Harper, P. R. 2011. Hospital operating theatre scheduling - advanced booking of individual patients. Presented at: 37th ORAHS Conference, Cardiff, July 2011 - Operational Research Informing National Health Policy Cardiff, Wales, UK 24-29 July 2011.
Harper, P. R. et al. 2011. Operational research informing national health policy. Cardiff University.
Vieira, I. T. et al. 2011. Tumour doubling times and the length bias in breast cancer screening programmes. Health Care Management Science 14 (2), pp.203-211. (10.1007/s10729-011-9156-9)

2010

Gallagher, J. E. , Kleinman, E. R. and Harper, P. R. 2010. Modelling workforce skill-mix: how can dental professionals meet the needs and demands of older people in England?. British Dental Journal 208 (3) E6. (10.1038/sj.bdj.2010.106)
Gallagher, J. E. , Kleinman, E. R. and Harper, P. R. 2010. Summary of: Modelling workforce skill-mix: how can dental professionals meet the needs and demands of older people in England?. British Dental Journal 208 (3), pp.116-117. (10.1038/sj.bdj.2010.132)
Harper, P. R. 2010. Developing a multi-methodology operating theatre scheduling support system. Presented at: IMA Sixth International Conference on Quantitative Modelling in the Management of Health Care London, UK 29-31 March 2010.
Jahangirian, M. et al., 2010. Simulation in health-care: lessons from other sectors. Operational Research 12 (1), pp.45-55. (10.1007/s12351-010-0089-8)
Vieira, I. T. et al. 2010. Small world network models of the dynamics of HIV infection. Annals of Operations Research 178 (1), pp.173-200. (10.1007/s10479-009-0571-y)
Vile, J. L. et al. 2010. Forecasting Welsh ambulance demand using singular spectrum analysis. Presented at: 36th International ORAHS conference Genova, Italy 18-23 July 2010. Published in: Testi, A. ed. Operations Research for Patient-Centered Health Care Delivery: Proceedings of the XXXVI International ORAHS Conference. Economia Vol. 5. Milan: Franco Angeli. , pp.196-208.

2009

Arisha, A. , Thorwarth, M. and Harper, P. R. 2009. Simulation model to investigate flexible workload management for healthcare and servicescape environment. Presented at: Winter Simulation Conference Washington, USA December 2009.
Brailsford, S. C. et al., 2009. An analysis of the academic literature on simulation and modelling in health care. Journal of Simulation 3 (3), pp.130-140. (10.1057/jos.2009.10)
Harper, P. R. 2009. Location modelling for community healthcare facilities. Presented at: 33rd International Conference of Operational Research Applied to Health Services St Etienne, France 15-20 July 2009.
Harper, P. R. , Powell, N. H. and Williams, J. E. 2009. Modelling the size and skill-mix of hospital nursing teams. Journal of the Operational Research Society 61 (5), pp.768-779. (10.1057/jors.2009.43)
Kleinman, E. R. , Harper, P. R. and Gallagher, J. E. 2009. Trends in NHS primary dental care for older people in England: implications for the future. Gerodontology 26 (3), pp.193-201. (10.1111/j.1741-2358.2008.00260.x)
Smith, H. K. et al., 2009. Planning sustainable community health schemes in rural areas of developing countries. European Journal of Operational Research 193 (3), pp.768-777. (10.1016/j.ejor.2007.07.031)
Smith, H. K. , Laporte, G. and Harper, P. R. 2009. Locational analysis: highlights of growth to maturity. Journal of the Operational Research Society 60 , pp.S140-S148. (10.1057/jors.2008.172)

2008

Harper, P. R. and Leite Jr., E. 2008. TreeWorks: Advances in Scalable Decision Trees. International Journal of Healthcare Information Systems and Informatics (IJHISI) 3 (4), pp.53-68. (10.4018/jhisi.2008100104)

2007

Brailsford, S. C. and Harper, P. R. 2007. Editorial - Special issue: Operational research in health. Journal of the Operational Research Society 58 (2), pp.141-144. (10.1057/palgrave.jors.2602267)
Brailsford, S. and Harper, P. R. 2007. Operational research for health policy: Making better decisions. Peter Lang.
Harper, P. R. 2007. Simulation modelling of a major accident and emergency department in Rome. Presented at: 31st Meeting of Operational Research Applied to Health Services Southampton, UK July 2007.

2006

Brailsford, S. C. , Sykes, J. and Harper, P. R. 2006. Incorporating human behavior in healthcare simulation models. Presented at: Winter Simulation Conference, 2006 (WSC 06) Monterey, CA, USA 3-6 December 2006. Published in: Perrone, L. F. et al., Proceedings of the Winter Simulation Conference, 2006 (WSC 06). Los Alamitos, CA: IEEE. , pp.466-472. (10.1109/WSC.2006.323117)
Evenden, D. et al., 2006. Improving the cost-effectiveness of Chlamydia screening with targeted screening strategies. Journal of the Operational Research Society 57 (12), pp.1400-1412. (10.1057/palgrave.jors.2602134)
Harper, P. 2006. Modelling for the reprovision and redesign of intermediate care services in the UK - a local example. Presented at: 30th Meeting of Operational Research Applied to Health Services Stockholm, Sweden July 2006.
Harper, P. R. 2006. Combined geomapping, statistical risk grouping and computer simulation for modelling chlamydia infection dynamics and screening strategies. Presented at: 30th Meeting of Operational Research Applied to Health Services Stockholm, Sweden July 2006.
Harper, P. R. and Winslett, D. J. 2006. Classification trees: A possible method for maternity risk grouping. European Journal of Operational Research 169 (1), pp.146-156. (10.1016/j.ejor.2004.05.014)

2005

Evenden, D. et al., 2005. System Dynamics modeling of Chlamydia infection for screening intervention planning and cost-benefit estimation. IMA Journal of Management Mathematics 16 (3), pp.265-279. (10.1093/imaman/dpi022)
Harper, P. R. 2005. A review and comparison of classification algorithms for medical decision making. Health Policy 71 (3), pp.315-331. (10.1016/j.healthpol.2004.05.002)
Harper, P. R. 2005. Combining data mining tools with health care models for improved understanding of health processes and resource utilisation. Clinical and Investigative Medicine 28 (6), pp.338-341.
Harper, P. R. et al. 2005. A genetic algorithm for the project assignment problem. Computers & Operations Research 32 (5), pp.1255-1265. (10.1016/j.cor.2003.11.003)
Harper, P. R. and Jones, S. K. 2005. Mathematical models for the early detection and treatment of colorectal cancer. Health Care Management Science 8 (2), pp.101-109. (10.1007/s10729-005-0393-7)
Harper, P. R. , Phillips, S. and Gallagher, J. E. 2005. Geographical simulation modelling for the regional planning of oral and maxillofacial surgery across London. Journal of the Operational Research Society 56 (2), pp.134-143. (10.1057/palgrave.jors.2601898)
Harper, P. R. et al. 2005. Planning health services with explicit geographical considerations: a stochastic location-allocation approach. OMEGA - The International Journal of Management Science 33 (2), pp.141-152. (10.1016/j.omega.2004.03.011)
Rauner, M. , Harper, P. R. and Schwartz, B. 2005. Economic impact of occupational injuries: resource allocation for prevention programs. Central European Journal of Operations Research , pp.393-424.

2004

Ball, C. et al., 2004. Moving on from 'patient dependency' and 'nursing workload' to managing risk in critical care. Intensive and Critical Care Nursing 20 (2), pp.62-68. (10.1016/j.iccn.2004.02.001)
Harper, P. R. and Pitt, M. A. 2004. On the challenges of healthcare modelling and a proposed project life cycle for successful implementation. Journal of the Operational Research Society 55 (6), pp.657-661. (10.1057/palgrave.jors.2601719)
Harper, P. R. et al. 2004. Population needs assessment and access modelling for cardiac services. Journal of the Operational Research Society 55 (5), pp.529-534. (10.1057/palgrave.jors.2601644)

2003

Costa, A. X. et al., 2003. Mathematical modelling and simulation for planning critical care capacity. Anaesthesia 58 (4), pp.320-327. (10.1046/j.1365-2044.2003.03042.x)
Harper, P. H. et al. 2003. A systems modelling approach for the prevention and treatment of diabetic retinopathy. European Journal of Operational Research 150 (1), pp.81-91. (10.1016/S0377-2217(02)00787-7)
Harper, P. R. and Gamlin, H. M. 2003. Reduced outpatient waiting times with improved appointment scheduling: a simulation modelling approach. OR Spectrum 25 (2), pp.207-222. (10.1007/s00291-003-0122-x)
Harper, P. R. and Shahani, A. K. 2003. A decision support system for the care of HIV and AIDS patients in India. European Journal of Operational Research 147 (1), pp.187-197. (10.1016/S0377-2217(02)00270-9)
Vieira, I. T. et al. 2003. Mother-to-child transmission of HIV: a simulation-based approach for the evaluation of intervention strategies. Journal of the Operational Research Society 54 (7), pp.713-722. (10.1057/palgrave.jors.2601566)

2002

Harper, P. R. 2002. A framework for operational modelling of hospital resources. Health Care Management Science 5 , pp.165-173. (10.1023/A:1019767900627)
Harper, P. R. and Shahani, A. K. 2002. Modelling for the planning and management of bed capacities in hospitals. Journal of the Operational Research Society 53 (1), pp.11-18. (10.1057/palgrave.jors.2601278)

Research interests

Queueing theory, game theory and simulation methods
Mathematical modelling of healthcare systems
Mathematical modelling for the prevention, early detection and treatment of diseases
Data mining techniques

Research group

Operational Research

Research impact

The majority of my research has direct impact on healthcare services and public health policy. My work, and that of colleagues, is helping to transform the efficiency and effectiveness of NHS care delivery through mathematical modelling, resulting in radically improved healthcare systems at policy, commissioning and operational levels. The underpinning research captures the dynamic and stochastic nature of healthcare processes, which translates into the delivery of user-friendly tools for use by NHS staff themselves to better operate and deploy resources. Recently funding by Anuerin Bevan University Health Board has led to the establishment of a mathematical modelling unit; the largest of it's kind in the UK between an Operational Research group and the NHS.

Particular research contributions include stochastic models for integrated healthcare resource systems (hospital bed capacities, theatre scheduling and workforce planning), novel research on stochastic facility location problems, multi-level simulation, research at the intersection of game theory and queueing theory, conditional phase-type modelling and combined data mining and simulation methodologies.

I am an Editor-in-Chief of Health Systems (Palgrave) and Director of hmc2, a pan-Wales centre bringing together research expertise in mathematical and computational modelling applied to health. I have won the OR Society's Goodeve Medal for the best paper published in the Journal of the Operational Research Society, and given numerous plenaries and chaired various conferencesincluding OR50 and the 2011 ORAHS International conference (http://mathsevents.cf.ac.uk/orahs2011/)

Please refer to my personal website for further details including research papers, grant awards, and resources such as videos of my research talks.

Named investigator on £5.5m of funded research grants; author of more than 70 peer-reviewed papers and book chapters.
Twice winner of the Cardiff University Innovation and Impact Prize: 2011 (in collaboration with the Office for National Statistics) and 2015 (in collaboration with the Aneurin Bevan University Health Board).
Editor-in-Chief of Health Systems (Palgrave Macmillan)
Winner of Operational Research Society’s Goodeve Medal (2006) for the best paper published in the Journal of the Operational Research Society.
Winner of the 2006 University of Southampton Vice-Chancellor’s teaching award in “recognition of outstanding contribution to teaching practice and innovation”.

I teach the following modules:

MAT001 – OR Methods
MAT003 – Communicating and Research Skills
MA0261 – Operational Research
MAT009 – Healthcare Modelling

PhD students

Current

Sarie Brice (with Doris Behrens)
Geraint Palmer (with Vincent Knight)
Isabelle Percy (with Alex Balinsky)
Mark Tuson (with Doris Behrens)

Completed

Elizabeth Rowse (2015): Robust Optimisation of Operating Theatre Schedules
Robert Shone (2014): Optimal Control of Queueing Systems with Multiple Heterogeneous Facilities
Angelico Fetta (2014): Modelling Adolescent Smoking Behaviours with Social Network Analysis
Marion Penn (2014): Developing a Multi-Methodological Approach to Hospital Operating Theatre Scheduling
Leanne Smith (2013): Modelling Emergency Medical Services
Julie Vile (2013): Time-Dependent Stochastic Modelling for Predicting Demand and Scheduling of Emergency Medical Services
Joe Viana (2011): The Development of a Combined Simulation Approach in a Sexual Health Context: Combining Discrete Event and System Dynamics Simulation to Form a Composite Model.
Shivam Desai (2011): Modelling Social Care Needs of Older People in Hampshire
Dileep Da Silva (2011): Dental Public Health Needs for Sri Lanka.
Michael Thorwarth (2011): A Simulation-based Decision Support Model to improve Healthcare Facilities Performance – elaborated on an Irish Emergency Department
Evandro Leite (2009): Decision Trees
Honora Smith (2008): Locating Sustainable Community Health Facilities.
Jennifer Sykes (2007): Healthcare Behavioural Modelling
Naomi Powell (2006): Simulation and Optimisation of Healthcare Workforce Needs.

Apwyntiadau

2025 - : Cyfarwyddwr Astudiaethau Ôl-raddedig a Addysgir
2022 - : Arweinydd Caerdydd, Cyflymydd Cenedl Data Cymru (WDNA)
2022 - 23: Arweinydd Rhwydwaith Datblygu Turing Prifysgol Caerdydd (Sefydliad Alan Turing)
2019 - 22: REF2021 aelod o is-banel (cyfnod asesu) ar gyfer y Gwyddorau Mathemategol.
2019 - 22: Cadeirydd Academaidd Partneriaeth Strategol Prifysgol Caerdydd - Swyddfa Ystadegau Gwladol (SYG)
2009 - : Pennaeth y Grŵp Ymchwil Gweithredol, Prifysgol Caerdydd
2010 - : Cyfarwyddwr , hmc² (Canolfan Modelu Iechyd Cymru)
2018 - 22 : Cyfarwyddwr y Sefydliad Ymchwil Arloesi Data
2009 - 18 : Cyfarwyddwr Astudiaethau Ôl-raddedig a Addysgir
2013 - 21 : Dirprwy Bennaeth yr Ysgol (Ysgol Mathemateg, Prifysgol Caerdydd)
2011 - 21 : Prif Olygydd, Systemau Iechyd (Taylor & Francis)
2011 - 21 : Cyfarwyddwr Effaith ac Ymgysylltu, Ysgol Mathemateg
2008 - 12: Arweinydd Clwstwr ar gyfer Ymchwil Weithredol ac Ystadegau, WIMCS.
2007 - 11: Cadair Ymchwil WIMCS mewn Ymchwil Weithredol, Prifysgol Caerdydd
2006 - 07: Uwch Ddarlithydd mewn Ymchwil Weithredol, Prifysgol Southampton
2001 - 06: Darlithydd mewn Ymchwil Weithredol, Prifysgol Southampton
1997 - 02: Cymrawd Ymchwil, Sefydliad Modelu ar gyfer Gofal Iechyd, Prifysgol Southampton

Cymwysterau

2005: Tystysgrif PG mewn Addysg, Prifysgol Southampton
2002: Ph.D. Ysgol Mathemateg, Prifysgol Southampton
1996: M.Sc. Ysgol Mathemateg, Prifysgol Southampton
1995: B.Sc. Adran y Gwyddorau Mathemategol, Prifysgol Caerfaddon

Myfyrwyr PhD

Cyfredol

Matthew Howells (Dyfarniad EPSRC CASE gyda Bwrdd Iechyd Prifysgol Caerdydd a'r Fro)
Elin Williams (Bwrdd Cynllunio Ardal Gwent)

Wedi Gorffen

Charlotte Marshall (2026): Modelu Mathemategol ar gyfer Amserlennu Apwyntiadau Telefeddygaeth Cleifion Allanol
Michalis Panayides (2023): Ymddygiadau'r Gweithlu mewn Systemau Gofal Iechyd
Elizabeth Williams (2023): Cysylltu dadansoddeg rhagfynegol a rhagnodol ar gyfer modelu gwasanaethau gofal iechyd ar gyfer cleifion bregus a henoed
John Threfall (2023): Datblygu a Meincnodi Algorithm Chwilio Gwasgariad Newydd ar gyfer Dysgu Modelau Graffig Tebygolrwydd mewn Gofal Iechyd
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