Yr Athro Aris Syntetos
(e/fe)

BSc, MSc, PhD, PGCert, FIMA

Athro Ymchwil Nodedig, Cadeirydd DSV

: SyntetosA@caerdydd.ac.uk
: +44 29208 76572
: Adeilad Aberconwy, Ystafell C21, Rhodfa Colum, Cathays, Caerdydd, CF10 3EU
sbarc|spark, Ystafell 00.27, Heol Maendy, Cathays, Caerdydd, CF24 4HQ

: Ar gael fel goruchwyliwr ôl-raddedig

Rwy'n Athro Gwyddor Penderfyniad ac yn dal y DSV Cadeirydd Logisteg a Gweithgynhyrchu. Rwy'n sylfaenydd a Chyfarwyddwr Sefydliad Gweithgynhyrchu, Logisteg a Rhestr y Brifysgol-Diwydiant PARC (sy'n cwmpasu RemakerSpace Prifysgol Caerdydd). Rwyf wedi sefydlu ac yn gofalu am bartneriaeth strategol y Brifysgol gyda DSV® ar hyn o bryd. Cyn ymuno â Chaerdydd, bûm yn gwasanaethu yng nghyfadrannau Prifysgol Salford (Canolfan Ymchwil Weithredol ac Ystadegau Cymhwysol), ac Ysgol Fusnes Copenhagen (Athro Otto Monsted, yr Adran Gweithrediadau).

Yng Nghaerdydd, rwy'n ymchwilio i ragolygon a rheoli ansicrwydd ar gyfer gwella penderfyniadau stocrestr, gweithgynhyrchu, logisteg a chadwyni cyflenwi. Rwyf wedi cael y clod am uno'r disgyblaethau (siloed gynt) o ragweld ac optimeiddio stocrestrau, ac rwy'n adnabyddus yn bennaf am Amcangyfrif Syntetos-Boylan, dull rhagweld safonol, a'r dull Syntetos-Boylan-Croston o ddosbarthu rhagolwg. Mae fy llyfr 2021 gyda John Boylan wedi'i grynhoi yn y fideo hwn.

Mae fy ngwaith yn adlewyrchu cydweithio â mwy na 40 o brifysgolion a chwmnïau ledled y byd, ac mae wedi cael ei gefnogi gan gronfeydd sy'n fwy na £5 Miliwn (bron pob un ohonynt rwyf wedi'u sicrhau fel Prif Ymchwilydd ac mae bron pob un ohonynt wedi'i ddyfarnu i'm Prifysgol gysylltiedig). Rwyf wedi cael fy nghyflwyno mewn allfeydd academaidd blaenllaw (megis Gwyddorau Penderfyniadau, European Journal of Operational Research, Journal of Operations Management, a Production & Operations Management), ac mae gen i tua 9,000 o ddyfyniadau i'm gwaith.

Rwyf wedi cynghori llawer o sefydliadau ar faterion sy'n ymwneud â rhagweld rhestr eiddo ac mae sawl dull/algorithm yr wyf wedi'u cyd-ddatblygu yn cael eu defnyddio gan gorfforaethau meddalwedd mawr. Dros yr ychydig flynyddoedd diwethaf, rwyf wedi bod yn gweithio'n agos gyda: Accolade Wines, British Telecommunications (BT), Brother International, DSV, grŵp Excelitas (Qioptiq), Ocado, a'r grŵp Ymateb Effeithlon i Ddefnyddwyr (ECR) (yr wyf yn gweithio drwyddo gyda manwerthwyr mwyaf Ewrop). Gellir gweld crynodeb o'm heffaith ddiweddar yma.

Rwy'n Olygydd yr IMA Journal of Management Mathematics (IMAMAN, Oxford University Press) a Golygydd Cyswllt FORESIGHT®, cyhoeddiad yr Athrofa Ryngwladol Daroganwyr (IIF) sy'n canolbwyntio ar ymarferydd. Gweithiais fel Cyfarwyddwr yr IIF yn 2014 - 2022, ac ar hyn o bryd rwy'n gwasanaethu ym Mhwyllgor Gweithredol y Gymdeithas Ryngwladol ar gyfer Ymchwil Stocrestrau (ISIR).

Ym Mhrifysgol Caerdydd, rwyf wedi derbyn gwobrau am ragoriaeth mewn addysgu ôl-raddedig, Gwobr Goruchwyliwr Doethurol Eithriadol Prifysgol Caerdydd 2016, a Gwobr Arloesi ac Effaith Prifysgol Caerdydd 2016 a 2019 mewn Busnes am fy ngwaith gyda Panalpina World Transport Ltd. (DSV bellach) a Qioptiq Ltd., yn y drefn honno.

2024

Johns, J., Eyers, D., Lupton, R., Syntetos, A. and Robins, J. 2024. Additive Manufacturing and circular economies. In: Emmit, S. and Charef, R. eds. Circular Economy for the Built Environment: Research and Practice. Routledge
Scarf, P., Syntetos, A. and Teunter, R. 2024. Joint maintenance and spare-parts inventory models: a review and discussion of practical stock-keeping rules. IMA Journal of Management Mathematics 35(1), pp. 83-109. (10.1093/imaman/dpad020)
Jin, Z., Chen, C., Liu, Q., Syntetos, A. and Liu, Y. 2024. Compact convolutional transformer for bearing remaining useful life prediction. Presented at: IWAR 2023- VII International Workshop on Autonomous Remanufacturing, Caserta, Italy, 18-19 October 2023Lecture Notes in Mechanical Engineering.
Ford, G., Gosling, J., Naim, M. and Syntetos, A. 2024. Simplifying complexity? On quality decision-making and non-conformance outcomes of megaprojects. IEEE Transactions on Engineering Management 71, pp. 5443-5454. (10.1109/TEM.2024.3359821)

2023

Rostami-Tabar, B., Babai, Z. and Syntetos, A. 2023. To aggregate or not to aggregate: Forecasting of finite autocorrelated demand. Journal of the Operational Research Society 74(8), pp. 1840-1859. (10.1080/01605682.2022.2118631)
Wang, S., Syntetos, A. A., Liu, Y., Di Cairano-Gilfedder, C. and Naim, M. M. 2023. Improving automotive garage operations by categorical forecasts using a large number of variables. European Journal of Operational Research 306(2), pp. 893-908. (10.1016/j.ejor.2022.06.062)
Abolghasemi, M., Rostami-Tabar, B. and Syntetos, A. 2023. The value of point of sales information in upstream supply chain forecasting: an empirical investigation. International Journal of Production Research 61(7), pp. 2162-2177. (10.1080/00207543.2022.2063086)

2022

Demir, E., Syntetos, A. and van Woensel, T. 2022. Last mile logistics: Research trends and needs. IMA Journal of Management Mathematics 33(4), pp. 549-561. (10.1093/imaman/dpac006)
Rostami-Tabar, B., Ali, M. M., Hong, T., Hyndman, R. J., Porter, M. D. and Syntetos, A. 2022. Forecasting for social good. International Journal of Forecasting 38(3), pp. 1245-1257. (10.1016/j.ijforecast.2021.02.010)
Petropoulos, F. et al. 2022. Forecasting: theory and practice. International Journal of Forecasting 38(8), pp. 705-871. (10.1016/j.ijforecast.2021.11.001)
Lin, J., Zhou, L., Spiegler, V., Naim, M. and Syntetos, A. 2022. Push or Pull? The impact of ordering policy choice on the dynamics of a hybrid closed-loop supply chain. European Journal of Operational Research 300(1), pp. 282-295. (10.1016/j.ejor.2021.10.031)
Goltsos, T. E., Syntetos, A. A., Glock, C. H. and Ioannou, G. 2022. Inventory - forecasting: mind the gap. European Journal of Operational Research 299(2), pp. 397-419. (10.1016/j.ejor.2021.07.040)
Babai, Z., Dai, Y., Li, Q., Syntetos, A. and Wang, X. 2022. Forecasting of lead-time demand variance: implications for safety stock calculations. European Journal of Operational Research 296(3), pp. 846-861. (10.1016/j.ejor.2021.04.017)
Best, J., Glock, C. H., Grosse, E. H., Rekik, Y. and Syntetos, A. 2022. On the causes of positive inventory discrepancies in retail stores. International Journal of Physical Distribution & Logistics Management 52(5/6), pp. 414-430. (10.1108/IJPDLM-07-2021-0291)

2021

Prak, D., Teunter, R., Babai, M. Z., Boylan, J. E. and Syntetos, A. 2021. Robust compound Poisson parameter estimation for inventory control. Omega 104, article number: 102481. (10.1016/j.omega.2021.102481)
Ponte, B., Cannella, S., Dominguez, R., Naim, M. and Syntetos, A. 2021. Quality grading of returns and the dynamics of remanufacturing. International Journal of Production Economics 236, article number: 108129. (10.1016/j.ijpe.2021.108129)
Boylan, J. E. and Syntetos, A. 2021. Intermittent demand forcasting: Context, methods and applications. Wiley.
Babai, M. Z., Chen, H., Syntetos, A. A. and Lengu, D. 2021. A compound-Poisson Bayesian approach for spare parts inventory forecasting. International Journal of Production Economics 232, article number: 107954. (10.1016/j.ijpe.2020.107954)
Ren, X., Watson, D., Syntetos, A. and Eyers, D. 2021. Global or local? Insights from 10 companies into the long-term impact of COVID-19 on global supply chains. DSV. Available at: https://docs.dsv.com/group/corporate-marketing-and-communication/global-or-local-covid-19/

2020

Ponte, B., Naim, M. and Syntetos, A. 2020. The effect of returns volume uncertainty on the dynamic performance of closed-loop supply chains. Journal of Remanufacturing 10, pp. 1-14. (10.1007/s13243-019-00070-x)
Chen, C., Liu, Y., Wang, S., Di Cairano-Gilfedder, C., Sun, X., Titmus, S. and Syntetos, A. A. 2020. Predictive maintenance using cox proportional hazard deep learning. Advanced Engineering Informatics 44, article number: 101054. (10.1016/j.aei.2020.101054)

2019

Goltsos, T. E., Ponte, B., Wang, S., Liu, Y., Naim, M. M. and Syntetos, A. A. 2019. The boomerang returns? Accounting for the impact of uncertainties on the dynamics of remanufacturing systems. International Journal of Production Research 57(23), pp. 7361-7394. (10.1080/00207543.2018.1510191)
Hedenstierna, C. P. T., Disney, S. M., Eyers, D. R., Holmstrom, J., Syntetos, A. A. and Wang, X. 2019. Economies of collaboration in build-to-model operations. Journal of Operations Management 65(8), pp. 753-773. (10.1002/joom.1014)
Rekik, Y., Syntetos, A. and Glock, C. 2019. Modelling (and learning from) inventory inaccuracies in e-retailing/B2B contexts. Decision Sciences 50(6), pp. 1184-1223. (10.1111/deci.12367)
Rekik, Y., Syntetos, A. A. and Glock, C. H. 2019. Measuring the sales impact of improving inventory records: How improving the accuracy of inventory records can grow sales by 4-8%. Efficient Consumer Response (ECR). Available at: https://www.ecrloss.com/research/grow-sales-by-improving-inventory-records
Ponte, B., Naim, M. M. and Syntetos, A. A. 2019. The value of regulating returns for enhancing the dynamic behaviour of hybrid manufacturing-remanufacturing systems. European Journal of Operational Research 278(2), pp. 629-645. (10.1016/j.ejor.2019.04.019)
Goltsos, T. E., Syntetos, A. A. and van der Laan, E. 2019. Forecasting for remanufacturing: the effects of serialization. Journal of Operations Management 65(5), pp. 447-467. (10.1002/joom.1031)
Demir, E., Huckle, K., Syntetos, A., Lahy, A. and Wilson, M. 2019. Vehicle routing problem: Past and future. In: Wells, P. ed. Contemporary Operations and Logistics: Achieving Excellence in Turbulent Times. Cham: Palgrave Macmillan, pp. 97-117., (10.1007/978-3-030-14493-7_7)
Van der Auweraer, S., Boute, R. N. and Syntetos, A. 2019. Forecasting spare part demand with installed base information: A review. International Journal of Forecasting 35(1), pp. 181-196. (10.1016/j.ijforecast.2018.09.002)

2018

Van Foreest, N. D., Teunter, R. H. and Syntetos, A. 2018. Base-stock policies with reservations. Omega 81, pp. 48-56. (10.1016/j.omega.2017.09.008)
Alamri, A. A. and Syntetos, A. A. 2018. Beyond LIFO and FIFO: Exploring an Allocation-In-Fraction-Out (AIFO) policy in a two-warehouse inventory model. International Journal of Production Economics 206, pp. 33-45. (10.1016/j.ijpe.2018.09.025)
Teunter, R. H., Babai, M. Z., Bokhorst, J. A. and Syntetos, A. A. 2018. Revisiting the value of information sharing in two-stage supply chains. European Journal of Operational Research 270(3), pp. 1044-1052. (10.1016/j.ejor.2018.04.040)
Demir, E., Abouarghoub, W. and Syntetos, A. 2018. Modelling the delivery slots for the last mile delivery: Costs and emissions. Presented at: The 23rd International Symposium on Logistics (ISL 2018), Bali, Indonesia, 8-11 July 2018.
Wang, S., Liu, Y., Cairano-Gilfedder, C. D., Titmus, S., Naim, M. and Syntetos, A. 2018. Reliability analysis for automobile engines: conditional inference trees. Procedia CIRP 72, pp. 1392-1397. (10.1016/j.procir.2018.03.065)
Lahy, A., Li, A. Q., Found, P., Syntetos, A., Wilson, M. and Ayiomamitou, N. 2018. Developing a product-service system through a productisation strategy: a case from the 3PL industry. International Journal of Production Research 56(6), pp. 2233-2249. (10.1080/00207543.2017.1367861)
Chen, C., Liu, Y., Sun, X., Wang, S., Di Cairano-Gilfedder, C., Titmus, S. and Syntetos, A. 2018. Reliability analysis using deep learning. Presented at: ASME 2018 International Design Engineering Technical Conferences and Computers and Information in Engineering Conference, Quebec City, Canada, 26-29 August 2018ASME 2018 International Design Engineering Technical Conferences and Computers and Information in Engineering Conference Volume 1B: 38th Computers and Information in Engineering Conference Quebec City, Quebec, Canada, August 26–29, 2018. ASME pp. V01BT02A040., (10.1115/DETC2018-86172)

2017

Zahedi-Hosseini, F., Scarf, P. and Syntetos, A. 2017. Joint optimisation of inspection maintenance and spare parts provisioning: a comparative study of inventory policies using simulation and survey data. Reliability Engineering & System Safety 168, pp. 306-316. (10.1016/j.ress.2017.03.007)
Prak, D., Saccani, N., Syntetos, A., Teunter, R. and Visintin, F. 2017. The Repair Kit Problem with positive replenishment lead times and fixed ordering costs. European Journal of Operational Research 261(3), pp. 893-902. (10.1016/j.ejor.2017.02.019)
Rekik, Y., Glock, C. H. and Syntetos, A. A. 2017. Enriching demand forecasts with managerial information to improve inventory replenishment decisions: exploiting judgment and fostering learning. European Journal of Operational Research 261(1), pp. 182-194. (10.1016/j.ejor.2017.02.001)
Ali, M. M., Babai, M. Z., Boylan, J. E. and Syntetos, A. A. 2017. Supply chain forecasting when information is not shared. European Journal of Operational Research 260(3), pp. 984-994. (10.1016/j.ejor.2016.11.046)
Teunter, R., Syntetos, A. A. and Babai, M. 2017. Stock keeping unit fill rate specification. European Journal of Operational Research 259(3), pp. 917-925. (10.1016/j.ejor.2016.11.017)
Prak, D., Teunter, R. and Syntetos, A. 2017. On the calculation of safety stocks when demand is forecasted. European Journal of Operational Research 256(2), pp. 454-461. (10.1016/j.ejor.2016.06.035)

2016

Babai, M. Z., Boylan, J. E., Syntetos, A. and Ali, M. M. 2016. Reduction of the value of information sharing as demand becomes strongly auto-correlated. International Journal of Production Economics 181(A), pp. 130-135. (10.1016/j.ijpe.2015.05.005)
Alamri, A. A., Harris, I. and Syntetos, A. A. 2016. Efficient inventory control for imperfect quality items. European Journal of Operational Research 254(1), pp. 92-104. (10.1016/j.ejor.2016.03.058)
Syntetos, A., Babai, Z., Boylan, J., Kolassa, S. and Nikolopoulos, K. 2016. Supply chain forecasting: theory, practice, their gap and the future. European Journal of Operational Research 252(1), pp. 1-26. (10.1016/j.ejor.2015.11.010)
Syntetos, A. A., Kholidasari, I. and Naim, M. M. 2016. The effects of integrating management judgement into OUT levels: in or out of context?. European Journal of Operational Research 249(3), pp. 853-863. (10.1016/j.ejor.2015.07.021)
Syntetos, A. A., Teunter, R. H., Babai, M. Z. and Transchel, S. 2016. On the benefits of delayed ordering. European Journal of Operational Research 248(3), pp. 963-970. (10.1016/j.ejor.2015.08.003)
Petropoulos, F., Wang, X., Disney, S. M. and Syntetos, A. 2016. The inventory performance of forecasting methods: a reanalysis of the M3-competition monthly industry data. Presented at: Logistics and Operations Management Section Annual Conference, Cardiff Business School, Cardiff University, Cardiff, Wales, UK, 15 January 2016.

2015

Rostami-Tabar, B., Babai, M. Z., Ducq, Y. and Syntetos, A. 2015. Non-stationary demand forecasting by cross-sectional aggregation. International Journal of Production Economics 170(Part A), pp. 297-309. (10.1016/j.ijpe.2015.10.001)
Rekik, Y., Syntetos, A. and Jemai, Z. 2015. An e-retailing supply chain subject to inventory inaccuracies. International Journal of Production Economics 167, pp. 139-155. (10.1016/j.ijpe.2015.04.011)
Syntetos, A., Zied Babai, M. and Gardner, E. S. 2015. Forecasting intermittent inventory demands: simple parametric methods vs. bootstrapping. Journal of Business Research 68(8), pp. 1746-1752. (10.1016/j.jbusres.2015.03.034)
Syntetos, A., Babai, M. Z. and Luo, S. 2015. Forecasting of compound Erlang demand. Journal of the Operational Research Society 66, pp. 2061-2074. (10.1057/jors.2015.27)
Boylan, J. E., Goodwin, P., Mohammadipour, M. and Syntetos, A. 2015. Reproducibility in forecasting research. International Journal of Forecasting 31(1), pp. 79-90. (10.1016/j.ijforecast.2014.05.008)

2014

Zied Babai, M., Syntetos, A. and Teunter, R. 2014. Intermittent demand forecasting: An empirical study on accuracy and the risk of obsolescence. International Journal of Production Economics 157, pp. 212-219. (10.1016/j.ijpe.2014.08.019)
Rostami-Tabar, B., Babai, M. Z., Syntetos, A. and Ducq, Y. 2014. A note on the forecast performance of temporal aggregation. Naval Research Logistics 61(7), pp. 489-500. (10.1002/nav.21598)
Lengu, D., Syntetos, A. and Babai, M. Z. 2014. Spare parts management: Linking distributional assumptions to demand classification. European Journal of Operational Research 235(3), pp. 624-635. (10.1016/j.ejor.2013.12.043)
Boylan, J. E., Chen, H., Mohammadipour, M. and Syntetos, A. 2014. Formation of seasonal groups and application of seasonal indices. Journal of the Operational Research Society 65, pp. 227-241. (10.1057/jors.2012.126)
Harris, I., Sanchez Rodrigues, V. A., Farahani, R. Z. and Syntetos, A. 2014. Horizontal logistics collaboration in the retail sector: myth or reality?. Presented at: LRN Annual Conference and PhD Workshop 2014, Huddersfield, England, 3-5 September 2014.
Sanchez Rodrigues, V. A., Harris, I., Mason, R. J. and Syntetos, A. 2014. A horizontal logistics collaboration framework from a holistic supply chain perspective. Presented at: 19th International Working Seminar on Production Economics, Innsbruck, Austria, 24-28 February 2014.

2013

Rostami-Tabar, B., Babai, M. Z., Syntetos, A. and Ducq, Y. 2013. Demand forecasting by temporal aggregation. Naval Research Logistics 60(6), pp. 479-498. (10.1002/nav.21546)
Babai, M. Z., Ali, M. M., Boylan, J. E. and Syntetos, A. 2013. Forecasting and inventory performance in a two-stage supply chain with ARIMA(0,1,1) demand: Theory and empirical analysis. International Journal of Production Economics 143(2), pp. 463-471. (10.1016/j.ijpe.2011.09.004)
Bacchetti, A., Plebani, F., Saccani, N. and Syntetos, A. 2013. Empirically-driven hierarchical classification of stock keeping units. International Journal of Production Economics 143(2), pp. 263-274. (10.1016/j.ijpe.2012.06.010)
Heinecke, G., Syntetos, A. and Wang, W. 2013. Forecasting-based SKU classification. International Journal of Production Economics 143(2), pp. 455-462. (10.1016/j.ijpe.2011.11.020)
Mason, R. J., Sanchez Rodrigues, V. A., Harris, I. and Syntetos, A. 2013. Evaluating the feasibility of horizontal coordination in horizontal collaboration in international logistics networks: a grocery retail perspective. Presented at: International Symposium on Logistics, Vienna, Austria, 7-10 July 2013.

2012

Ali, M. M., Boylan, J. E. and Syntetos, A. 2012. Forecast errors and inventory performance under forecast information sharing. International Journal of Forecasting 28(4), pp. 830-841. (10.1016/j.ijforecast.2010.08.003)
Syntetos, A., Babai, M. Z. and Altay, N. 2012. On the demand distributions of spare parts. International Journal of Production Research 50(8), pp. 2101-2117. (10.1080/00207543.2011.562561)

2011

Teunter, R. H., Syntetos, A. and Zied Babai, M. 2011. Intermittent demand: Linking forecasting to inventory obsolescence. European Journal of Operational Research 214(3), pp. 606-615. (10.1016/j.ejor.2011.05.018)
Wang, W. and Syntetos, A. 2011. Spare parts demand: Linking forecasting to equipment maintenance. Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review 47(6), pp. 1194-1209. (10.1016/j.tre.2011.04.008)
Strijbosch, L. W., Syntetos, A., Boylan, J. E. and Janssen, E. 2011. On the interaction between forecasting and stock control: The case of non-stationary demand. International Journal of Production Economics 133(1), pp. 470-480. (10.1016/j.ijpe.2009.10.032)
Syntetos, A., Georgantzas, N. C., Boylan, J. E. and Dangerfield, B. C. 2011. Judgement and supply chain dynamics. Journal of the Operational Research Society 62, pp. 1138-1158. (10.1057/jors.2010.56)

2010

Syntetos, A. and Boylan, J. E. 2010. On the variance of intermittent demand estimates. International Journal of Production Economics 128(2), pp. 546-555. (10.1016/j.ijpe.2010.07.005)
Syntetos, A., Babai, M. Z., Davies, J. and Stephenson, D. 2010. Forecasting and stock control: A study in a wholesaling context. International Journal of Production Economics 127(1), pp. 103-111. (10.1016/j.ijpe.2010.05.001)
Teunter, R. H., Syntetos, A. and Babai, M. Z. 2010. Determining order-up-to levels under periodic review for compound binomial (intermittent) demand. European Journal of Operational Research 203(3), pp. 619-624. (10.1016/j.ejor.2009.09.013)
Teunter, R. H., Babai, M. Z. and Syntetos, A. 2010. ABC classification: service levels and inventory costs. Production and Operations Management 19(3), pp. 343-352. (10.1111/j.1937-5956.2009.01098.x)
Babai, M. Z., Syntetos, A. and Teunter, R. 2010. On the empirical performance of (T,s,S) heuristics. European Journal of Operational Research 202(2), pp. 466-472. (10.1016/j.ejor.2009.05.030)
Syntetos, A., Nikolopoulos, K. and Boylan, J. E. 2010. Judging the judges through accuracy-implication metrics: the case of inventory forecasting. International Journal of Forecasting 26(1), pp. 134-143. (10.1016/j.ijforecast.2009.05.016)
Martin, H., Syntetos, A., Parodi, A., Polychronakis, Y. E. and Pintelon, L. 2010. Integrating the spare parts supply chain: An inter-disciplinary account. Journal of Manufacturing Technology Management 21(2), pp. 226-245. (10.1108/17410381011014387)
Boylan, J. E. and Syntetos, A. 2010. Spare parts management: A review of forecasting research and extensions. IMA Journal of Management Mathematics 21(3), pp. 227-237. (10.1093/imaman/dpp016)
Nikolopoulos, K., Syntetos, A., Boylan, J. E., Petropoulos, F. and Assimakopoulos, V. 2010. An aggregate-disaggregate intermittent demand approach (ADIDA) to forecasting: an empirical proposition and analysis. Journal of the Operational Research Society 62(3), pp. 544-554. (10.1057/jors.2010.32)

2009

Syntetos, A., Nikolopoulos, K., Boylan, J. E., Fildes, R. and Goodwin, P. 2009. The effects of integrating management judgement into intermittent demand forecasts. International Journal of Production Economics 118(1), pp. 72-81. (10.1016/j.ijpe.2008.08.011)
Babaï, M. Z., Syntetos, A., Dallery, Y. and Nikolopoulos, K. 2009. Dynamic re-order point inventory control with lead-time uncertainty: Analysis and empirical investigation. International Journal of Production Research 47(9), pp. 2461-2483. (10.1080/00207540701666824)
Syntetos, A., Boylan, J. E. and Disney, S. M. 2009. Forecasting for inventory planning: a 50-year review. Journal of the Operational Research Society 60, pp. S149-s160. (10.1057/jors.2008.173)
Syntetos, A., Keyes, M. and Babai, M. Z. 2009. Demand categorisation in a European spare parts logistics network. International Journal of Operations & Production Management 29(3), pp. 292-316. (10.1108/01443570910939005)
Syntetos, A., Babai, M. Z., Dallery, Y. and Teunter, R. 2009. Periodic control of intermittent demand items: theory and empirical analysis. Journal of the Operational Research Society 60(5), pp. 611-618. (10.1057/palgrave.jors.2602593)

2008

Fildes, R., Nikolopoulos, K., Crone, S. F. and Syntetos, A. 2008. Forecasting and operational research: a review. Journal of the Operational Research Society 59(9), pp. 1150-1172. (10.1057/palgrave.jors.2602597)
Syntetos, A., Boylan, J. E. and Disney, S. M. 2008. Inventory, forecasting and planning: a 50 year review. Presented at: 50th Annual Conference of the Operational Research Society (OR 50) 2008, York, UK, 9-11 September 2008.
Syntetos, A. and Boylan, J. E. 2008. Demand forecasting adjustments for service-level achievement. IMA Journal of Management Mathematics 19(2), pp. 175-192. (10.1093/imaman/dpm034)
Boylan, J. E., Syntetos, A. and Karakostas, G. E. 2008. Classification for forecasting and stock control: a case study. Journal of the Operational Research Society 59(4), pp. 473-481. (10.1057/palgrave.jors.2602312)

2007

Boylan, J. and Syntetos, A. 2007. The accuracy of a Modified Croston procedure. International Journal of Production Economics 107(2), pp. 511-517. (10.1016/j.ijpe.2006.10.005)
Polychronakis, Y. E. and Syntetos, A. 2007. 'Soft' supplier management related issues: An empirical investigation. International Journal of Production Economics 106(2), pp. 431-449. (10.1016/j.ijpe.2006.07.008)

2006

Syntetos, A. and Boylan, J. E. 2006. On the stock control performance of intermittent demand estimators. International Journal of Production Economics 103(1), pp. 36-47. (10.1016/j.ijpe.2005.04.004)

2005

Syntetos, A. and Boylan, J. E. 2005. The accuracy of intermittent demand estimates. International Journal of Forecasting 21(2), pp. 303-314. (10.1016/j.ijforecast.2004.10.001)

2004

Syntetos, A., Boylan, J. E. and Croston, J. D. 2004. On the categorization of demand patterns. Journal of the Operational Research Society 56(5), pp. 495-503. (10.1057/palgrave.jors.2601841)

2001

Syntetos, A. and Boylan, J. E. 2001. On the bias of intermittent demand estimates. International Journal of Production Economics 71(1-3), pp. 457-466. (10.1016/S0925-5273(00)00143-2)

Diddordebau ymchwil

Rwy'n gweithio ym maes Gwyddor Penderfyniadau, ac mae gen i ddiddordeb mewn datblygu rhestr eiddo a / neu fodelau busnes sy'n ddamcaniaethol drylwyr ond ymarferol hyfyw ac effeithiol a / neu ragweld algorithmau a modelau busnes.

Rwyf wedi gweithio, ac yn parhau i wneud hynny, ar ragolwg rhestr galw ysbeidiol. Mae'r gwaith hwn yn arbennig o berthnasol i gadwyni cyflenwi rhannau sbâr (ac ar ôl gwerthu). Rwyf hefyd yn gweithio ar ragolygon stocrestrau yng nghyd-destun cadwyni cyflenwi dolen gaeedig (economi gylchol) a gweithgynhyrchu ychwanegion (3DP yn benodol) cadwyni cyflenwi wedi'u galluogi. Mae fy ngwaith bob amser wedi cael ei danlinellu nid yn unig gan bryderon ariannol ond hefyd yn amgylcheddol, ac yn fwy diweddar cymdeithasol. Rwyf bob amser wedi bod yn cyn-feddiannu gyda lleihau darfodiad stocrestrau, ac yn fwy diweddar, gyda chyfleoedd i atal darfodiad a gynlluniwyd yn gyfan gwbl.

Mae fy niddordebau ymchwil presennol yn ymwneud â'r meysydd canlynol:

Rhagweld cadwyn gyflenwi ystadegol a beirniadol
Stocrestr, a gwallau stocrestr, modelu mathemategol a rheoli
Uniad dadansoddol a chysyniadol o Stocrestrau-Rhagweld
Rhagfynegi rhestr eiddo yn: i) rhannau sbâr, ii) ar ôl gwerthu, iii) manwerthu, iv) dolen agos, v) cadwyni cyflenwi 3DP-alluog
Rhestr (a/neu) Rhagweld ar gyfer cynaliadwyedd amgylcheddol: lleihau neu ddileu darfodedigaeth
Rhestr (a/neu) Rhagweld er lles cymdeithasol

Prosiectau ymchwil a throsglwyddo gwybodaeth a ariennir

[Nid yw prosiectau a ariennir yn unig / a ariennir yn uniongyrchol gan y Diwydiant a grantiau bach (o dan £20K) wedi'u cynnwys yma]

Cyngor Ymchwil Peirianneg a Gwyddorau Ffisegol (EPSRC): EP/D062942/1, 2006-08 (£192,950), 'Ar ddatblygu diffiniadau gweithredol wedi'u llywio gan theori o batrymau galw', Cynllun Grant Cyntaf. Arweinydd/unig ymchwilydd.
Bwrdd Strategaeth Technoleg (TSB): Partneriaeth Trosglwyddo Gwybodaeth gydag Offerynnau Falfiau a Mwy (VIP Cyf.) - KTP 6202, 2006-08 (£166,839), Maes Pwnc: 'Rheoli Rhestr a TG mewn Amgylchedd Cyfannol'. Cyd-ymchwilydd (PI: John Davies).
EPSRC: EP/F012632/1, 2007-08 (£62,144), 'Rheoli Rhagweld a Stocrestrau: Pontio'r Bwlch'. Prif Ymchwilydd (CI: John Boylan).
EPSRC: EP/G006075/1, 2009-10 (£72,190), 'Masnacheiddio datrysiad rheoli rhestr eiddo ar gyfer eitemau galw ysbeidiol'. Arweinydd/unig ymchwilydd.
EPSRC: EP/G070369/1, 2009 (£20,000), 'Mapio Gwybyddol, Dynameg System ac Effaith Bullwhip'. Prif Ymchwilydd (CIs: Brian Dangerfield, John Boylan).
Innovate UK: Partneriaeth Trosglwyddo Gwybodaeth gyda Killgerm Ltd. - KTP ELCT01, 2010-2012 (£170,413), prosiect rhyngddisgyblaethol ar 'Ddatblygu Capasiti Ymchwil yn y Diwydiant Rheoli Pla'. Cyd-ymchwilydd (PI: Gai Murphy).
EPSRC: EP/G003858/1, 2009-2013 (£266,595), 'Defnyddio'r dulliau grwpio a chrebachu i ragweld galw tymhorol is-agregau'. Prif Ymchwilydd (CIs: Huijing Chen, John Boylan).
EPSRC ac Innovate UK: Partneriaeth Trosglwyddo Gwybodaeth gyda Panalpina World Transport Ltd. - KTP 9208, 2013-2015 (£133,998), Maes pwnc: 'Darogan Ystadegol a Rheoli Rhestr mewn Cyd-destun 3PL'. Prif Ymchwilydd/Ymchwilydd Unigol.
EPSRC ac Innovate UK: Partneriaeth Trosglwyddo Gwybodaeth Ddwbl gyda Panalpina World Transport Ltd. - KTP 10165, 2016-2018 (£285,967), Maes pwnc: 'VS traddodiadol. 3D Argraffu Galluogi Rheoli Rhestr '. Prif Ymchwilydd (CIs: Rossi Setchi, Frank Lacan, Xun Wang).
EPSRC a Llywodraeth Cymru: Partneriaeth Trosglwyddo Gwybodaeth gyda Qioptiq Ltd. - KTP 10171, 2016-2018 (£160,281), Maes pwnc: 'Rhagolygon Ffurflenni mewn Cyd-destun Ail-weithgynhyrchu / Dolen gaeedig'. Prif Ymchwilydd (CI: Mohamed Naim).
EPSRC: EP/P008925/1, 2017-2019 (£711,899), 'Rhwydweithiau Ailgynhyrchu Gwydn: Rhagweld, Gwybodeg a Holons'. Prif Ymchwilydd (CIs: Mohamed Naim, Ying Liu).
EPSRC ac Innovate UK: Partneriaeth Trosglwyddo Gwybodaeth gydag OCADO - KTP 10165, 2019-2021 (£202,660), maes pwnc: 'Optimeiddio Trafnidiaeth / Llwybro'. Cynghorydd Academaidd (PI: Emrah Demir).
Llywodraeth Cymru: Canolfan Atgyweirio, Ailwneud, Ailgynhyrchu ac Ailddefnyddio Prifysgol Caerdydd, 2020a (£488,040). Prif Ymchwilydd (CI: Dan Eyers).
Llywodraeth Cymru: Canolfan Atgyweirio, Ailwneud, Ailgynhyrchu ac Ailddefnyddio Prifysgol Caerdydd, 2020b (£95,000), Prif Ymchwilydd (CI: Dan Eyers).
Llywodraeth Cymru: Prosiect Arbenigedd Smart 82505, 2021 (£324,683), 'Galluogi Ail-bwrpasu - Trawsnewid Cynnyrch a Chydweithio Cysylltiedig'. Prif Ymchwilydd (CIs: Dan Eyers, Thanos Goltsos, Andy Davies).
ESRC: Collaborative DTP PhD studenthip, 2022-2026 (£155,048), 'Rhagweld gwelliannau ar gyfer Gweithrediadau Iechyd a Chynllunio Teulu Atgenhedlol Gwell mewn Cadwyni Cyflenwi Iechyd Byd-eang'. Gyda chefnogaeth Asiantaeth Gwladwriaethau Unedig ar gyfer Datblygu Rhyngwladol (USAID). 2il oruchwyliwr (gyda Bahman Rostami-Tabar a Federico Liberatore).
Llywodraeth Cymru: Ehangu galluoedd AC (RemakerSpace), 2022 (£67,670), 'Gweithgynhyrchu Hybrid Cylchol (CHM) o bowdrau cynaliadwy ar gyfer prosesau gweithgynhyrchu ychwanegyn Cyfuno Gwelyau Powdwr (AM) trwy ailgylchu sgrapiau peiriannu.' Cyd-ymchwilydd (PI: Debajyoti Bhaduri, Ysgol Peirianneg, Prifysgol Caerdydd).
Llywodraeth Cymru: Prosiect Arbenigedd Clyfar, 2024 (£79,543), 'Ehangu RemakerSpace'. Prif Ymchwilydd (CIs: Dan Eyers, Rebecca Travers, Franck Lacan).

Addysgu - Prifysgol Caerdydd

Mae fy amser yn cael ei neilltuo 100% i ymchwil (a throsglwyddo gwybodaeth).

Yn flaenorol, yn Ysgol Busnes Caerdydd, bûm yn dysgu Modelu Logisteg, Dadansoddi Gweithrediadau a Rheoli Gweithrediadau yn rhaglenni MSc yr Adran Rheoli Logisteg a Gweithrediadau (LOM). Rwyf wedi cyfrannu'n sylweddol at ddatblygu'r cwricwlwm (e.e. modiwl Dadansoddi Gweithrediadau) ac wedi derbyn gwobrau am ragoriaeth mewn addysgu ôl-raddedig.

Addysgu - Yn rhyngwladol

Yn ogystal â'r DU, rydw i wedi dysgu'n rhyngwladol yn Tsieina, Colombia, Denmarc, Ffrainc, Gwlad Groeg, yr Eidal a Latfia. Roedd yr holl gyrsiau ym meysydd Rheoli Gweithrediadau, Ymchwil Weithredol (Gwyddoniaeth Rheoli) ac Ystadegau Cymhwysol.

Cymwysterau

2005 Tystysgrif Ôl-raddedig mewn Dysgu ac Addysgu mewn Addysg Uwch, Prifysgol Salford, UK
Gwasanaeth Milwrol 2001-2003 – Groeg Cenedlaethol
2001 PhD mewn Ymchwil Weithredol, Prifysgol Brunel, y DU (ysgolheictod academaidd a nawdd diwydiannol)
1996 MSc mewn Rheoli Ansawdd, Prifysgol Stirling, UK
1995 Hyfedredd mewn Iaith a Llenyddiaeth Eidaleg, Universita di Perugia, Yr Eidal
1994 Diploma Ôl-raddedig mewn Rheoli Ansawdd ac Ystadegol, EU, Menter Socrates (Athens, Brwsel, Nice) (ysgoloriaeth academaidd)
1994 Hyfedredd mewn Iaith a Llenyddiaeth Saesneg, Prifysgol Caergrawnt, DU
1993 BSc (4 blynedd) mewn Gweinyddu Busnes, Prifysgol Piraeus (Ysgol Astudiaethau Diwydiannol Graddedig gynt), Athen, Gwlad Groeg (ysgoloriaeth a roddwyd trwy arholiadau mynediad y Brifysgol Gyhoeddus Genedlaethol).

Gwaith golygyddol

Prif olygydd (2022 - ) – IMA Journal of Management Mathematics – IMAMAN (Gwasg Prifysgol Rhydychen, OUP)
Cyd-olygydd yn y Prif (2009 - 2022) – IMAMAN (OUP)
Golygydd Cyswllt (2006 - 2020) – Journal of the Operational Research Society – JORS (Taylor Francis)
Golygydd Cyswllt (2013 - ) – FORESIGHT – Sefydliad Rhyngwladol y Daroganwyr (cyhoeddiad sy'n canolbwyntio ar ymarferwyr)
Golygydd Cyswllt (2007 - 2009) – IMAMAN (OUP)
Cyd-olygydd gwadd: IMAMAN. Rhifyn arbennig ar 'Rhagweld ar gyfer Rheoli Stocrestrau', rhifyn 2, 2008
Cyd-olygydd gwadd: JORS®. Rhifyn arbennig ar 'Rhagweld a Chynllunio'r Gadwyn Gyflenwi', rhifyn 3, 2011
Cyd-olygydd (gyda D. Petrovic) o Lawlyfr Keynotes and Short Papers Handbook, The 53rd Conference of the UK Operational Research Society (OR 53), 2011, ISBN 0- 903440-49-0.
Cyd-olygydd gwadd: OMEGA. Rhifyn arbennig ar 'Darogan mewn Gwyddoniaeth Rheoli', rhifyn 6, 2012
Cyd-olygydd gwadd: OR INSIGHT®. Rhifyn arbennig ar brif bapurau o'r OR 53, rhifyn 3, 2012
Cyd-olygydd gwadd: IMAMAN. Rhifyn arbennig ar brif bapurau o'r OR 53, rhifyn 4, 2013.
Cyd-olygydd gwadd: International Journal of Production Economics (IJPE). Rhifyn Arbennig ar bapurau o'r 19eg Symposiwm Rhyngwladol ar Ymchwil Rhestr (ISIR, 2016), cyfrol 209, 2019.
Cyd-olygydd gwadd: IJPE. Rhifyn Arbennig ar bapurau o'r 20fed Symposiwm Rhyngwladol ar Ymchwil i Stocrestrau (ISIR, 2018), 2020.
Cyd-olygydd gwadd: IJPE. Rhifyn Arbennig ar bapurau o'r 21ain Symposiwm Rhyngwladol ar Ymchwil i Stocrestrau (ISIR, 2022), sy'n parhau.

Aelodaethau proffesiynol

Sefydliad Mathemateg a'i Chymwysiadau (IMA, Cymrodyr)
Sefydliad Rhyngwladol y Daroganwyr (IIF, Bwrdd y Cyfarwyddwyr, Cyfarwyddwr Etholedig, 2014-2022)
Cymdeithas Ryngwladol ar gyfer Ymchwil i Stocrestrau (ISIR, Pwyllgor Gwaith, Cadeirydd Etholedig: Adran Rhagweld Stocrestrau, 2016-)
Pwyllgor Athrawon mewn Ymchwil Gweithredol (COPIOR, Ysgrifennydd Etholedig, 2017-2021)
Y Gymdeithas Ymchwil Weithredol (ORS), a wasanaethwyd yn flaenorol (a etholwyd) yn y Cyngor Cyffredinol, 2011-2014)
Cymdeithas Rheoli Gweithrediadau a Chynhyrchu (POMS)
Sefydliad y Gwyddorau Ymchwil a Rheoli Gweithrediadau (INFORM)

Rwy'n croesawu ceisiadau PhD yn unrhyw un o'r meysydd craidd sydd o ddiddordeb i mi:

Rhagweld cadwyn gyflenwi ystadegol neu farnol
Stocrestr, ac anghywirdebau stocrestr, modelu mathemategol a rheoli
Uniad dadansoddol a chysyniadol o Stocrestrau-Rhagweld
Rhagfynegi Rhestr yn: i) rhannau sbâr, ii) ar ôl gwerthu, iii) manwerthu, iv) dolen agos, neu v) cadwyni cyflenwi 3DP-alluog
Rhestr (a/neu) Rhagweld ar gyfer cynaliadwyedd amgylcheddol: lleihau neu ddileu darfodedigaeth
Rhestr (a/neu) Rhagweld er lles cymdeithasol

Goruchwyliaeth gyfredol

Gavin Ford

Myfyriwr ymchwil

Zhongtian Jin

Myfyriwr ymchwil

Themâu ymchwil

Arbenigeddau

Modelau a darogan economaidd
Dadansoddi busnes
Ymchwil gweithrediadau
Rheoli cynhyrchu a gweithrediadau
Cynllunio a gwneud penderfyniadau

Digwyddiad RemakerSpace yn tynnu sylw at fentrau economi gylchol

Yr Athro Aris Syntetos (e/fe) BSc, MSc, PhD, PGCert, FIMA

Trosolwyg

Cyhoeddiad