![Guto Ifan](https://profiles-cardiff.imgix.net/attachments/6423?w=200&h=200&auto=format&crop=faces&fit=crop&q=90")
Mr Guto Ifan
Lecturer in Politics and International Relations - Welsh medium
- Welsh speaking
Overview
I am a researcher on the Wales Fiscal Analysis (WFA) programme within Cardiff University’s Wales Governance Centre. My research interests include public finances, fiscal policy, and tax devolution in Wales. The WFA programme regularly publishes commentary and analysis on the Welsh Government budget, public services, and the Welsh economy. I joined the Wales Governance Centre in 2015 to work on the Government Expenditure and Revenue Wales (GERW) project.
Publication
2024
- Ifan, G. 2024. Bangers and cash: partisan bias in local government grant allocations across Great Britain. Regional Studies (10.1080/00343404.2024.2372014)
2022
- Ifan, G., Sion, C., Peixoto Vale Gomes, L. and Poole, E. 2022. Welsh Budget Outlook 2022. Technical Report.
- Ifan, G., Sion, C. and Wincott, D. 2022. Devolution, independence and Wales’ fiscal deficit. National Institute Economic Review 261(1), pp. 16-33. (10.1017/nie.2022.8)
- Ifan, G. and Sion, C. 2022. Spring statement 2022: Implications for Wales. Technical Report.
- Sion, C. and Ifan, G. 2022. When ends don't meet: a cost-of-living update. Technical Report.
- Ifan, G. and Sion, C. 2022. Wales' Fiscal Future / Dyfodol Cyllidol Cymru. Presented at: Plaid Cymru Conference 2022, Venue Cymru, Llandudno, 22 October 2022.
2021
- Ifan, G. and Sion, C. 2021. Welsh budget outlook 2021. Technical Report.
- Sion, C. and Ifan, G. 2021. Local government & the Welsh budget: Outlook and challenges for the next Welsh Government. Technical Report.
2020
- Ifan, G. and Sion, C. 2020. Welsh Budget Outlook 2020. Technical Report.
- Ifan, G., Sion, C. and Poole, E. G. 2020. Wales' fiscal future: A path to sustainability?. Technical Report.
2019
- Ifan, G. and Poole, E. G. 2019. Devolution and decentralisation in social security: the situation in the United Kingdom. In: Schoukens, P. and Vonk, G. eds. Devolution and Decentralisation in Social Security: A European Comparative Perspective. NILG - Governance & Recht The Hague: Eleven International Publishing, pp. 245-268.
- Ifan, G., Sion, C. and Poole, E. G. 2019. Government Expenditure and Revenue Wales 2019. Technical Report.
- Poole, E. G. and Ifan, G. 2019. Internal coordination of social security in the United Kingdom. European Journal of Social Security 21(2), pp. 153-162. (10.1177/1388262719844984)
Adrannau llyfrau
- Ifan, G. and Poole, E. G. 2019. Devolution and decentralisation in social security: the situation in the United Kingdom. In: Schoukens, P. and Vonk, G. eds. Devolution and Decentralisation in Social Security: A European Comparative Perspective. NILG - Governance & Recht The Hague: Eleven International Publishing, pp. 245-268.
Cynadleddau
- Ifan, G. and Sion, C. 2022. Wales' Fiscal Future / Dyfodol Cyllidol Cymru. Presented at: Plaid Cymru Conference 2022, Venue Cymru, Llandudno, 22 October 2022.
Erthyglau
- Ifan, G. 2024. Bangers and cash: partisan bias in local government grant allocations across Great Britain. Regional Studies (10.1080/00343404.2024.2372014)
- Ifan, G., Sion, C. and Wincott, D. 2022. Devolution, independence and Wales’ fiscal deficit. National Institute Economic Review 261(1), pp. 16-33. (10.1017/nie.2022.8)
- Poole, E. G. and Ifan, G. 2019. Internal coordination of social security in the United Kingdom. European Journal of Social Security 21(2), pp. 153-162. (10.1177/1388262719844984)
Monograffau
- Ifan, G., Sion, C., Peixoto Vale Gomes, L. and Poole, E. 2022. Welsh Budget Outlook 2022. Technical Report.
- Ifan, G. and Sion, C. 2022. Spring statement 2022: Implications for Wales. Technical Report.
- Sion, C. and Ifan, G. 2022. When ends don't meet: a cost-of-living update. Technical Report.
- Ifan, G. and Sion, C. 2021. Welsh budget outlook 2021. Technical Report.
- Sion, C. and Ifan, G. 2021. Local government & the Welsh budget: Outlook and challenges for the next Welsh Government. Technical Report.
- Ifan, G. and Sion, C. 2020. Welsh Budget Outlook 2020. Technical Report.
- Ifan, G., Sion, C. and Poole, E. G. 2020. Wales' fiscal future: A path to sustainability?. Technical Report.
- Ifan, G., Sion, C. and Poole, E. G. 2019. Government Expenditure and Revenue Wales 2019. Technical Report.
Research
Publications:
Ifan, G. (2020) Covid-19 and the Welsh Government Budget: Update No. 2, Cardiff: Wales Governance Centre. Available at: https://www.cardiff.ac.uk/__data/assets/pdf_file/0012/2399394/WFA-coronavirus-budget-update-2-02062020.pdf
Ifan, G. (2020) Covid-19 and the Welsh Government Budget: Update No. 1, Cardiff: Wales Governance Centre. Available at: https://www.cardiff.ac.uk/__data/assets/pdf_file/0005/2132654/COVID19_Welsh_Budget_FINAL.pdf
Ifan, G. (2020) The Welsh Budget: implications from UK Budget 2020 and fiscal response to Covid-19, Cardiff: Wales Governance Centre. Available at: https://www.cardiff.ac.uk/wales-governance-centre/publications/finance
Ifan, G., Sion, C. and E.G. Poole (2020) Wales Fiscal Future: A path to sustainability? Cardiff: Wales Governance Centre. Available at: https://www.cardiff.ac.uk/__data/assets/pdf_file/0004/1767424/Wales_Fiscal_Future_FINAL.pdf
Poole, E.G. and Ifan, G. (2019). Internal coordination of social security in the United Kingdom. European Journal of Social Security. Vol 21, Issue 2, p. 153-162 https://doi.org/10.1177/1388262719844984
Ifan, G. and Poole, E.G. (2019). Devolution and decentralisation in social security: the situation in the United Kingdom, in Schoukens, P. & Vonk, G. (eds) (2019) Devolution and Decentralisation in Social Security: A European Comparative Perspective. The Hague: Eleven International Publishing
Ifan, G. (2019) Public spending on the justice system for Wales, Cardiff: Wales Governance Centre. Available at: https://www.cardiff.ac.uk/__data/assets/pdf_file/0005/1549094/Public-spending-on-the-justice-system-for-Wales-Final.pdf
Ifan, G., Sion, C. and Poole, E.G. (2019) Government Expenditure and Revenue Wales 2019, Cardiff: Wales Governance Centre. Available at: https://www.cardiff.ac.uk/__data/assets/pdf_file/0009/1542474/full_gerw_print.pdf
Ifan, G. and C. Sion (2019) The Public Sector in Wales: An analysis of recent trends in the public sector workforce and pay bill, Cardiff: Wales Governance Centre. Available at: https://www.cardiff.ac.uk/__data/assets/pdf_file/0010/1517176/public_sector_june_final.pdf
Ifan, G. and C. Sion (2019) Devolved Welfare: How well would Wales fare? Assessing the fiscal impact of devolving welfare to Wales, Cardiff: Wales Governance Centre. Available at: https://www.cardiff.ac.uk/__data/assets/pdf_file/0010/1476352/devolving_welfare_final2.pdf
Ifan, G. and C. Sion (2019) Cut to the bone? An analysis of Local Government finances in Wales, 2009-10 to 2017-18 and the outlook to 2023-24, Cardiff: Wales Governance Centre. Available at: https://www.cardiff.ac.uk/__data/assets/pdf_file/0010/1448920/local_government_finance_report_Feb19_final.pdf
Ifan, G. and E.G. Poole (2018) The Welsh Tax Base: Risks and Opportunities after Fiscal Devolution, Cardiff: Wales Centre for Public Policy. Available at: https://www.cardiff.ac.uk/__data/assets/pdf_file/0008/1287008/The-Welsh-Tax-Base-_WCPP-Final-180627.pdf
Luchinskaya, D., Ogle, J., Trickey, M., Poole, E.G. and G. Ifan (2017) Welsh Government Budgetary Trade-offs: Looking Forward to 2021-22, Cardiff: Wales Public Services 2025 and Wales Governance Centre. Available at: https://www.cardiff.ac.uk/__data/assets/pdf_file/0008/1287215/Looking_Forward_Report_Final_Updated.pdf
Poole, E.G., Ifan, G. and D. Phillips (2016) Fair Funding for Taxing Times? Assessing the Fiscal Framework Agreement, Cardiff: Wales Governance Centre and the Institute for Fiscal Studies. Available at: http://sites.cardiff.ac.uk/wgc/files/2016/11/Fair-Funding-for-Taxing-Times-Assessing-the-Fiscal-Framework-Agreement.pdf
Poole, E.G., Ifan, G. and D. Phillips (2016) Barnett Squeezed? Options for a Funding Floor after Tax Devolution, Cardiff: Wales Governance Centre and the Institute for Fiscal Studies. Available at: http://sites.cardiff.ac.uk/wgc/files/2016/12/161209-WGC-IFS-2nd-Report-Barnett-Squeezed.pdf
Poole, E.G., Ifan, G. and D. Phillips (2016) For Wales Don’t (Always) See Scotland: Adjusting the Welsh Block Grant after Tax Devolution, Cardiff: Wales Governance Centre and the Institute for Fiscal Studies. Available at: http://sites.cardiff.ac.uk/wgc/files/2016/10/WGC-IFS-Report-Oct-2016.pdf
Ifan, G. and E.G. Poole (2016) Devolving Stamp Duty and Landfill Tax to Wales, Cardiff: Wales Governance Centre. Available at: https://www.cardiff.ac.uk/__data/assets/pdf_file/0009/1288512/Devolving-Stamp-Duty-and-Landfill-Tax-to-Wales.pdf
Poole, E.G. and G. Ifan (2016) Income Tax and Wales: The Risks and Rewards of New Model Devolution, Cardiff: Wales Governance Centre. Available at: https://www.cardiff.ac.uk/__data/assets/pdf_file/0010/1288513/Estimating-Wales-Net-Contribution-to-the-European-Union.pdf
Poole, E.G. and G. Ifan (2016) Government Expenditure and Revenue Wales 2016, Cardiff: Wales Governance Centre. Available at: https://www.cardiff.ac.uk/__data/assets/pdf_file/0008/1285793/Government-Expenditure-and-Revenue-Wales-2016.pdf
Ifan, G. and E.G. Poole (2016) Estimating Wales’ Net Contribution to the European Union, Cardiff: Wales Governance Centre. Available at: https://www.cardiff.ac.uk/__data/assets/pdf_file/0012/1288695/Income-Tax-and-Wales-1.pdf
